2018

December 31, 2018

December 31, 2018: On Monday, markets closed out the year with gains. The S&P 500 was up 0.85% and Toronto was up 0.7%.
It was not a good year in the markets. Fear and predictions of lower earnings ahead came into the market and pushed "multiples...


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RioCan updated December 31, 2018

The report for RioCan is updated and rated Buy at $23.80 to yield 6.0%. This is fundamentally a lower return business but it provides reliable cash distributions. It is very well managed.
...


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Fortis Inc. updated December 29, 2018

The report for Fortis Inc. is updated and rated Buy at $45.07. Fortis projects raising its dividend by an average of 6% per year for the next five years with the earnings increase coming from its various capital investments. In Q4 Fortis will definit...


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December 28, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.3% while Toronto was up 0.4%
The great majority of stocks on our list were up.
Rate reset preferred shares were up with the Enbridge series A share up 5.1%. The Canadian Western Bank rate reset preferred share on...


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December 27, 2018

On Thursday, the U.S. markets appeared set to take back most of Wednesday's big gain. But the market rallied into the close with the S&P 500 up 0.9%. With the markets swinging up and down for no particular reason, the next move(s) are not somethi...


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Costco updated December 26, 2018

Costco is updated and rated Weak Buy / Hold at $198.63.  It is a pleasure to read the annual report of this company . It is a simple company that has a very powerful business model. My ONLY hesitation on this stock is that it trades at a high price t...


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December 26, 2018

Wednesday brought some welcome relief for the U.S. markets. The Toronto exchange was closed but should catch up tomorrow unless the U.S. market turns sharply negative again.
The S&P 500 was up a huge 5.0%. The increase was a partial bounce back f...


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December 24, 2018

Given recent market actions it was no surprise that markets were down once again on this Christmas Eve Monday.
The S&P 500 was down 2.7% and Toronto was down 1.1%.
Most stocks were down. But Canadian Western Bank, Melcor and Toll Brothers managed...


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December 23, 2018

The recent stock market declines have been hard to stomach.
The economy so far has remained strong with corporate earnings in general at record levels. But the potential that the long economic expansion is about to turn down into a recession and a wh...


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Royal Bank updated December 23, 2018

Royal Bank of Canada is updated and rated (lower) Strong Buy at $90.95.
With the market declines a lot of stocks look very attractive on valuation and that is the basis if the rating. Meanwhile the potential that the long economic expansion is about ...


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December 22, 2018

Friday was another weak day as the S&P 500 closed down 2.1% and Toronto was down 1.5%.
The situation with Trump is certainly not helping matters. He is now apparently mulling firing the Fed chair. With all of the investigations and with the Democ...


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December 20, 2018

Thursday was another nasty down day in the markets.
The S&P 500 was down 1.6% and Toronto was down 0.9%.
And tomorrow is not shaping up to be any better... (more below)
Most stocks were down, some of the bigger declines were Starbucks down 3.0%, ...


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FedEx updated December 19, 2018

FedEx is updated and rated (higher ) Buy at $163. It reported adjusted earnings per share in Q2 up 27%, so that was not the problem. But it indicated that "Global trade has slowed in recent month" and this along with customers choosing to pay less in...


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December 19, 2018

On Wednesday, markets were initially up. They then initially rose even more when the Fed increased rates as expected but then fell when the Fed indicated it still planned probably two rate increases in 2019 (down from three but not down to one or non...


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December 18, 2018

Markets closed relatively flat on Tuesday with the S&P 500 about unchanged and Toronto up 0.4%.
Stantec was up 2.3% after announcing a $35 million contract win for planning and design work at a shipyard in Maine.
Melcor Developments was down 3.8%...


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December 17, 2018

Monday's markets were ugly especially considering that the declines come on top of all the other recent declines.
The S&P 500 was down 2.1% and Toronto was down 1.6%. And it is certainly very possible that the declines will continue. The best nea...


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Canadian Western Bank updated December 16, 2018

The report for Canadian Western Bank is updated and rated (lower) Strong Buy at $26.10. CWB earned an ROE of 11.8% in its just completed fiscal 2018. It has not reported a loss in any quarter in over 28 years. And yet, due to fears and due to general...


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Dollarama updated December 15, 2018

Dollarama is updated and rated (lower) Buy at $31.99. After being targeted by a short seller and after reporting unusually low earnings growth, the shares have come down to a more reasonable level.
...


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Insider Trading December 15, 2018

With so many stocks trading at what appears to be bargain prices I am keeping a closer eye on insider trading.
Melcor CEO Darrin Rayburn bought 1800 shares at $12.55 on Wednesday to hold 43,643. This was reported on Friday. A few days ago I mentioned...


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December 15, 2018

Friday was another negative day in the markets. The other side of that coin however, is that those with cash to invest can do so at lower stock prices.
The S&P 500 was down 1.9% and Toronto was down 1.05%.
The decline in the S&P 500 was blame...


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Toll Brothers updated December 14 2018

Toll Brothers is updated and rates Strong Buy at $32.88.
In it recently released Q4, earnings per share were up 79%. But those earnings were driven by home sales that they contracted for nine to twelve months earlier. The market is focused on slowing...


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December 13, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was down 0.2%.
CRH Medical was up 3.2%. Dollarama recovered 3.4%.
TFI International was down 6.1%. I did not see any news to explain the decline. It's been an exceptionally well run compa...


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December 12, 2018

Stocks rose on Wednesday with the S&P 500 up 0.5% and Toronto up 0.8%.
Constellation Software was up 3.3%. Toll Brothers was up 3.2%. AutoCanada was up 2.4%.
Teranet reported that its index of the price of existing houses edged down slightly in m...


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December 11, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was down 0.4%.
Alimentation Couche-Tard rose 2.7%. This company continues to be very well managed and has plans for continued growth. The stock has risen since the end of October despite s...


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December 10, 2018

Monday was a volatile day in the markets. But at the end of the day, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while Toronto was down 0.45%.
Most of the stocks on our list were down. Constellation Software was among the few gainers and was up 1.1%.
Checking inside...


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December 9, 2018 Share Buy Backs

Melcor continues to buy back its small allowed quota of 1262 shares per day. It began the buybacks on October 9. This came after several years where Meclor had obtained permiossion from regulators to buy back shares but then did not do so. They buy b...


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December 7, 2018

Friday's action saw the S&P 500 down 2.3% and Toronto down 0.95%.
Costco was down 3.6%.
AutoCanada was down 4.4% to $11.09.
Statistics Canada reported large job gains for November. And this is NOT explained by Christmas hiring since these figures...


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December 6, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 ended the day down 0.15% while Toronto was down 1.6%
Earlier on Thursday, the S&P 500 had been down as much as 2.9%.
Investors are nervous about trade tensions with China and in general are fearful of declines. Theref...


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December 5, 2018

On Wednesday, the U.S. markets were closed to respect the late President George H. W. Bush.
Toronto rose 0.8%
The Bank of Canada held interest rates constant but apparently sees risk in the economy and therefore it is now thought that interest rates ...


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December 4, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down a hefty 3.2% while Toronto was down 1.4%.
Most stocks were down.
FedEx took an extra hit (and ended up down 6.3%) because a Morgan Stanley analyst said that Amazon has some planes of its own and will take away 10%...


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December 3, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 ws up 1.1% which was likely due to reduced trade tensions between China and the U.S. after Trump met with the Chinese leader on Saturday.
Toronto was up 0.5%
West Texas Oil is up to $53.55 after Russian and Saudi Arabia app...


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November 30, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.8% while Toronto was about unchanged.
AutoCanada was up 10.7%. This may have been due to an analyst recommendation given that the company did not release any news.
Boston Pizza Royalties was up 3.3%. After the clos...


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November 29, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% while Toronto was up 0.15.
Linamar recovered 3.3%.
AutoCananda was up 4.1%. Earlier this week, AutoCanada announced a new partnership with Kijiji as its preferred online partner. It's hard to say what the be...


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Melcor Developments updated November 29, 2018

The report for Melcor Developments is updated and rated (higher) Strong Buy at $12.75 based on the fact that it trades at 42% of book value per share and based on the "hard" nature of its assets. This has obviously been a very frustrating stock to ow...


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November 28, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 surged 2.3% and Toronto was up 1.3%. This came after remarks by the FED Chair that were interpreted to mean that interest rates may not rise as high as had been expected in 2019. However, this was only an interpretation ...


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November 27, 2018

There are lots of things to mention tonight.
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% while Toronto was down 0.5%.
CRH Medical was up 6.9%. The company did not release any news and there was no new insider buying. Therefore, the reason could be an ana...


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Melcor REIT updated November 27, 2018

Our report on the Melcor REIT is updated. Based on its 9.0% yield and the fact that it is trading at 67% of book value, and supported by recent insider buying, it is rated Buy. But at the same time its distributable cash per unit has declined in 2018...


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November 26, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 1.5% while Toronto was about unchanged.
Boston Pizza Royalties recovered 4.6% after it announced it will initiate unit buy-backs. I was a bit surprised by that because it has already taken on a material amount of deb...


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November 23, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.7% and Toronto was down 0.5%.
BHP Billiton was down 4.0% which may have been linked to lower oil prices.
Canadian Western Bank got pushed down 5.8% to $27.89. This was no-doubt due to the current gloom in the wes...


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Boston Pizza Updated November 23, 2018

Our report for Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is updated and rated (higher) Buy at $15.53 (It closed today at $15.13 to yield 9.1%).
These units have been falling in price. Presumably, the market is now expecting a distribution cut. I believe a d...


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November 22, 2018

On Thursday, the U.S. stock markets were closed while Toronto was about unchanged.
There were no particularly note worthy moves in the Canadian stocks on our list.
Boston Pizza is down to $15.53 yielding 8.9%. Rising interest rates would not seem to ...


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November 21, 2018

Wednesday was another interesting day in the market.
The S&P 500 was about unchanged. But Toronto was up 1.5% and almost all the stocks on our list were higher.
CN Rail was up 3.0%.
Constellation Software was up 3.1%.
TFI International was up 2.5...


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WSP Global updated November 21, 2018

The report for WSP Global is updated and rated Buy at $64.18. It's not cheap but if it keeps growing like it has been it will do well.
WSP Global is fairly similar to Stantec in that both are consulting engineering companies that have grown by acquis...


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November 20, 2018

Tuesday was a non-bring day in the markets.
The S&P 500 was down 1.8% and Toronto was down 1.3%.
Almost all the stocks on our list were down. But the three exceptions were stocks I mention a lot.
Toll Brothers was up 2.0%.
Linamar was up 0.8%
And...


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November 19, 2018

Monday's action saw the S&P 500 down 1.7% and Toronto down 0.6%.
Canadian Western Bank had a notable decline of 2.7% to $29.91. Book value per share is $25.77 (end of Q3 and will almost certainly be higher when it reports Q4 in early December). R...


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November 18, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and Toronto was up 0.1%.
Melcor Developments was up 4.0%. The company continues to buy back each day the small amount of shares that it is allowed to which is just 1262 shares per day. They are also allowed to a...


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November 18, 2018 Stantec updated

Stantec is updated and rated (lower) Buy at $31.01.
I was tempted to rate it higher due to a potential turn-around in 20019 but the numbers don't support that just yet.
The story of Stantec is that it has been a successful growth-by-acquisition compa...


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November 15, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 1.1% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
Stocks on the rise included: Visa, up 1.9%, American Express up 1.7%, Linamar up 1.7%.
Stocks on the decline included: CRH Medical down 4.2%, AutoCanada down 1.9%, Dollarama down 2.7...


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Canadian Tire updated November 15, 2018

Canadian Tire is updated and rated (higher) Buy at $152.70. The stock has fallen in the past week even thought the company reported strong earnings growth in in Q3.
...


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November 14, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.8% while Toronto was about flat.
AutoCanada fell 12.3% to $11.09 giving back a good portion of its recent gains. Unfortunately, there may be nothing to support the share price unless and until it able to post ...


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Alberta Economy – November 14, 2018

The drop in the price of West Texas Oil along with continued wide discounts on Alberta oil do not bode well for the Alberta economy unless something changes.
In downtown Edmonton there is nevertheless a LOT of building going on. Near the new downtown...


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November 13, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.15% and Toronto was down 0.2%.
AutoCanada rose 11.4% to $12.65. But it is likely to continue to be quite volatile until and unless it can book some solid improvements in 2019. See update below.
TFI International...


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AutoCanada updated November 13, 2018

The report for AutoCanada is updated and rated Speculative Buy at $12.45. The future of this investment is heavily dependent on the abilities of the new management team that took over in July. They have made a number of changes and they seem to have ...


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November 12, 2018

Monday was a government holiday, but the markets were open. The S&P 500 was down a hefty 2.0% and Toronto was down 0.8%.
Amazon was down 4.4%. Visa was down 2.9%. Stantec was down 3.4%. Canadian Tie was down 2.85%.
AutoCanada managed a gain of 2....


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November 10, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.9% and Toronto was down 0.5%.
Stantec was down 6.5% in what seems to be a delayed negative reaction to its earnings release of Thursday morning.
Linamar was down 3.2% in further negative reaction to its earnings ...


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Linamar updated November 10, 2018

Linamar is updated and rated (higher) Strong Buy at $48.21. This is primarily based on its low price to earnings ratio of 5.4 times and low price to book value combines with management's optimism that earnings will continue to grow. There are never ...


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November 8, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.25%, giving back a bit of yesterday's gains. Toronto was down 0.1%.
Melcor was down 4.3% to $13.40. That puts it at 44% of book value. Unfortunately, the wait for a recovery here continues. CMHC reported today ...


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November 7, 2018

Wednesday, in response to the results of the mid-term elections, the S&P 500 was up 2.2% while Toronto rose 0.5%.
Among the many gainers were:CRH Medical up 8.4% Amazon, up 6.9%Starbucks up another 3.3%Visa, up 2.8%
And Canadian Western Bank was ...


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November 6, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% as U.S. markets await the election results. Toronto was up 0.5%.
TFI International was up 3.6%. Starbucks was up another 2.4% 
Melcor Developments released earnings after the close that were very similar to yea...


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November 5, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each up about 0.6%.
Berkshire Hathaway surged 4.7%, Toll Brothers was up 2.4%, TFI International was up 2.1%, Costco was up 1.9% and Canadian Western Bank was up 1.8%. Most stocks were up but Linamar was do...


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November 3, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% and Toronto was down 0.2%.
Starbucks was up 9.7% to $64.32 after releasing Q3 earnings and sales figures. This high-quality company was added to our list on August 25 rated Buy at $52.75. Linamar was up 3.4%.C...


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November 1, 2018

(This post was made on November 1, but inadvertently, was not uploaded until November 3) On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 1.1% and Toronto was up 0.8%.
BHP Billiton was up 5.0% after it released details on a special dividend and a stock buy-back p...


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FedEx updated November 3, 2018

Our report for FedEx is updated and rated Buy at $222. The stock is down 11% this year to date. That's in spite of sharply higher earnings per share. Growth in volume of packages moves has been strong and it has also increased prices charged. The low...


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CRH Medical Q3 earnings October 31, 2018

CRH Medical posted Q3 results after the close. In general the results looked positive with higher adjusted EBITDA attributable to owners ( a good portion is attributable to minority interests) but lower net income attributable to owners. Given the co...


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Melcor REIT Earnings October 31, 2018

The Melcor REIT released earnings after the close. The bad news is that adjusted Funds From Operations per unit were down 13% in Q3 and 8% year to date. Furthermore, the payout ratio as percent of this AFFO has risen to 105% in Q3 and 99% year to dat...


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October 31, 2018

So, Halloween was anything but scary in the markets.
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 rose (or recovered) 1.1% while Toronto was up 0.9%.
Notable winners included:Amazon, up 4.4%Visa, up 3.8%TFI International, up 2.3% CRH Medical, up 4.1%
Dollarama was ...


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October 30, 2018

Tuesday was a positive day in the markets as the S&P 500 rose 1.6% and Toronto was up 1.2%.
Our big gainer was Toll Brothers which rose 8.75%. Tomorrow will be the last day of its fiscal 2018 and it will report earnings in December. It's earnings...


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October 29, 2018

On Monday, stocks were initially higher but closed the day with the S&P 500 down 0.7% and Toronto down 1.1%.
Amazon was down 6.3%. (see update below)
Toll Brothers was down 2.5% as was Visa Inc.
CRH Medical was down 3.3% in Toronto and will repor...


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Amazon updated October 29. 2018

Our report for Amazon is updated for Q3 earnings. With the recent slide in its stock price and its recently higher earnings the price / earnings ratio of this stock has come down a lot but is still very high at 86. The company is forecasting slower 1...


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IMB pays huge premium in acquisition October 28, 2018

There is news this evening that IBM is making a big acquisition.
What shocks me about it is the price paid in relation to not only profits but even revenues. Based on this I dearly wish that some of the companies I own and that are on our list would ...


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Constellation Software updated October 28, 2018

Our report for Constellation Software is updated and rated (lower) Buy at Canadian $871. The price has declined from a high of $1,134 and meanwhile earnings have continued to grow briskly. While the stock is not cheap, this may be an opportunity to s...


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October 27, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 1.7% while Toronto declined 0.2%.
Amazon was down 7.8% to $1643. In early September it had briefly reached $2050.
Costco was down 3.6%
On a day when most stocks were down, Toll Brothers gained 3.1% and TFI Internat...


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Visa Inc. updated October 27, 2018

Our report for Visa Inc. is updated and rated (lower) Buy at $137.74. Shares in this powerful money maker have looked expensive on a P/E ratio basis for quite a few years. But the subsequent growth has justified the premium valuation. Now, the valuat...


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October 25, 2018

Thursday saw a partial rebound from Wednesday's market declines.
The S&P 500 was up 1.9% but Toronto was up only 0.1%.
Amazon surged 7.1% but then was down 5.3% to $1687 in after-hours trading after it released Q3 earnings. If I had some U.S. cas...


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October 24, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down a very hefty 3.1% and Toronto was down 2.5%.
Given a lot of negative sentiment including concern about the outcome of the U.S. mid-term elections and many other international risks, it is certainly possible that...


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Canadian National Railway updated October 24, 2018

Our report on CN Rail is updated and rated (lower) Buy at $107.79. It's an excellent and strong company with a good outlook but is not cheap in relation to earnings.
...


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October 23, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 ended the day down 0.55% but had been down over 2% earlier in the day. Toronto closed down 0.8%.
Among the few stocks on the rise were Toll Brothers, up 4.1% and Linamar, up 3.4% and Melcor, up 2.2% and TFI International, ...


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TFI International updated October 23, 2018

The report for TFI International is updated with a (higher) Buy rating at $44.99.
Amid the gloom of falling stock prices in recent days, it was nice to see this company report an eye-popping 97% increase in adjusted earnings per share in Q3. Year to ...


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October 22, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each down 0.4%.
Most stocks were down.
But Stantec rose 5.8% as the market continues to react positively to last week's news that it has reached a deal to sell its problematic construction services division...


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October 21, 2018 Toll Brothers

The steep decline in the price of Toll Brothers down to about book value is hard to stomach.
Investment banks including Bank of America and RBC analysts have turned negative on the home building sector. Still, the forward P/E ratio is very low at 5.9...


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American Express October 21, 2018

Our report on American Express is updated for Q3 earnings and rated (higher) Buy at $106.73
...


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October 20, 2018 (Friday and Toll Brothers)

On Friday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was up 0.4%.
Stocks on the rise included:
CN Rail, up 1.9%.
Stantec up 3.3% on its pending divestiture of its problematic construction services division.
American Express up 3.8% on its Q3 ...


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October 19, 2018 noon eastern – Rail Car Loadings and CN Rail

Canadian National Raiway Company will report Q3 earnings on Tuesday. I expect another good quarter. CN is up 2.5% this morning after Canadian Pacific reported good results in Q3.
Rail car loadings for Canada are running higher than 2017 in most weeks...


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October 19, 2018 noon 11:45 am Stantec Sells MWH Constructors

Stantec has announced it has reached a deal to sell its problematic MWH Constructors division. This division was acquired in May 2016 as a portion of the acquiistion of MWH Global which included substantial core free-for-service business. The MWH Con...


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October 18, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 1.4% and Toronto was down 0.8%.
Most stocks on our list were down. Heineken was up 2.3% to $78.50.
FedEx was down 2.7% to $217. It is well below its high of $274 and looks attractive.
Canadian Western Bank was do...


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October 17, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was down 0.3%.
Starbucks was up 2.3%.
Linamar was down 2.15%. I could not resist adding a little to my position again today.
It was disappointing to see Toll Brothers down 2.6%. This was...


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BHP Billiton updated October 16, 2018

Our one mining company, the giant BHP Billiton (market cap about $129 billion U.S.) is updated and rated Speculative Buy. This is an inherently unpredictable company since its earnings can swing massively with commodity price changes. As detailed in ...


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October 16, 2018

Tuesday was a very positive day for North American stock markets with the S&P 500 up 2.15% and Toronto was up 1.1%.
Constellation Software was up 6.0%. Amazon was up 3.35%. Visa was up 3.3%, Toll Brothers was up 3.3%. There were quite a few stock...


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October 15, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% while Toronto was about unchanged.
Linamar recovered 3.4%.
Canadian Western Bank recovered 2.0% to $33.72 and trades at 1.30 times book value and, according to Yahoo Finance 12.3 times trailing earnings and 10...


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October 14, 2018

On Friday, markets recovered somewhat as the S&P 500 rose 1.4% and Toronto rose 0.6%
Visa was up 4.7% and Amazon was up 4.0% and so perhaps Thursday was the day to grab these. But it is never clear when these dips have hit a low. 
Linamar, howeve...


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October 11, 2018

Thursday was a negative day in the markets with the S&P 500 down 2.1% and Toronto down 1.3%.
Most stocks were down including AutoCanada down 4.3%.
A few stocks on our list managed not to fall today including Melcor up 1.0% and Constellation Softw...


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October 10, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down a hefty 3.3% and Toronto was down 2.1%.
I don't think investors can complain much about the S&P 500 giving back a little of the big gains it has recently made but complaints about the TSX being down 2.1% are...


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October 9, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% while Toronto was down 0.6%.
Ceapro was up 19% on its news but for whatever reason most of the gain and most of the trading came only in the last 90 minutes of trading. Walmart was up 2.5%. Starbucks was up 2...


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Ceapro comment Oct 9, 2018 before the open

Ceapro press release this morning that they have Health Canada approval to start a human trial on using one of their two main products as a cholesterol lowering agent. If this panned out it could be a very big deal. And perhaps this will give the mar...


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October 8, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 ended the day about unchanged. Toronto was closed.
Amazon was down 1.3% to 1864 but was as low as $1831. Those wanting to own Amazon could consider buying on this dip but probably don't need to be in any rush.  There is not...


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October 6, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% and Toronto was down 0.4%.
Costco was down a hefty 5.6% to $219. This was after Costco announced earnings and announced that it had identified some control issues regarding the accuracy of its financial report...


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October 4, 2018

Thursday saw the S&P 500 down 0.8% and Toronto down 0.4%.
A drop in the S&P 500 is no surprise and not distressing after almost two years of almost uninterrupted gains since Trump's election. But it also seems to pull down Toronto and various...


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Impressions of Consumer Businesses while Traveling

Whenever I travel, I like to make note of how various retail and consumer businesses are doing or what my impressions are.
At Edmonton Airport on Tuesday night I went to the BP for a beer before our flight (strictly for research of course).
The airpo...


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October 3, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% and Toronto was up 0.3%.
Canadian Tire was up 1.7%.
Toll Brothers was down 2.0%. Competitor Lennar reported strong earnings and sales growth this morning but its price was down 1.1%. It appears that the marke...


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October 2, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto (apparently unexcited by the big LNG announcement) was down 0.5%.
CRH Medical bounced up 7.1% on Toronto to $4.99. It's been quite volatile lately but has mostly trended down after reachin...


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Enbridge Preferred Share report updated October 2, 2018

Our report on the Enbridge Rate reset preferred share, the Series 9 trading as ENB.PF.A is updated and rated Buy at $20.47.
The shares happen to be very similar to the Canadian Western Bank rate reset preferred share that is on our list which is rate...


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Kitimat LNG go-ahead October 2, 2018

Shell and partners have announced a go-ahead decision on this project. They say it is $25 to $30 billion capital investment. That would be U.S. dollars which may explain why we are seeing a $40 billion figure in the Canadian news. It appears that a $...


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October 1, 2018

On Monday, with a NAFTA (Sorry Trump, I mean USMCA) deal in hand, the S&P 500 was up 0.4% and Toronto was up only 0.2% on this news.
Linamar was up 6.3%. It will probably rise more as the good news is digested.
In unrelated news, Alimentation Cou...


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September 30, 2018 NAFTA Deal reached?

Late Sunday night, CBC indicates that sources tell it that a tentative NAFTA deal has been reached,his should be very positive for Linamar and probably also CN and AutoCanada perhaps most Canadian stocks.
As for Friday, the S&P 500 was unchanged ...


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September 27, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% and Toronto was up 0.2%
Toll Brothers was down 2.4% to $33.55. That makes the price to book value 1.13. The trailing price to earnings ratio is 8.4 and the stock is trading at just 6.5 times the earnings that ...


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September 26, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.3% while Toronto rose 0.1%.
The FED increased interest rates as expected and apparently signaled more increases to come.
AutoCanada was up 3.8% on news of the sale and lease-back transaction that I mentioned y...


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September 25, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% and Toronto was down 0.3%.
Linamar was down 2.2% and will probably continue to be weak until and unless there is some progress on NAFTA.
After the close, AutoCanada announced it did a deal to sell and leaseba...


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September 24, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.35% which was blamed on the escalating China / U.S.A. trade war.
Toronto was down 0.1%
West Texas Oil rose 2.1% to $72.25 as OPEC indicated it would not increase supply as requested by Donald Trump.
Most of the s...


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September 24, 2018 July Wholesale Trade report

Statistics Canada reports that “Wholesale sales rose 1.5% to $63.9 billion in July, more than offsetting the 0.9% decline in June.”

My first thought looking at that is that there is some measurement error involved. The error could come from the seasonal adjustment process. The true trend is probably a bit smoother than suggested by a 0.9% drop in June followed by a 1.5% increase in July.

In any case though, it is a positive report.

On a year-over-year basis the growth in wholesale trade is up 4.1% which is strong growth.

September 22, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was up 0.1%.
Amazon was down 1.5% to $1915.
BHP Billiton was up 2.0%. Due to commodity price volatility this is an inherently volatile stock. It can be held for diversification although in ...


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Dollarama updated September 22, 2018

Our report for Dollarama is updated and rated Weak Buy at $43.21
After a decade of growing its earnings per share at a compound annual average rate of about 31%, Dollarama grew earnings per share by "only" 12% year-over-year in the latest two quarter...


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September 20, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 closed at a new record high, surging 0.8% to 2931. The 3000 level is not far away. The U.S. economy is undeniably strong. And the great bulk of the income tax reductions appear to have fallen to the bottom line. If the 50...


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September 19, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% while Toronto was down 0.3%.
West Texas Oil is at $71.48. Unfortunately as BNN Bloomberg reported today, basically ALL the different grades of Canadian crude are selling at big discounts to the West Texas Pri...


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September 18, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.5% as investors basically ignored any negative risks from Trump's trade war with China. Toronto was up 0.7%.
West Texas oil is just a hair under $70.
TFI International was up 3.3% to $48.70.
FedEx was down 5.5%.
C...


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September 17, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% which was at least partly due to concerns about Trump's escalating trade war with China. An announcement by Trump about new Tariffs is apparently pending as of early Monday evening. Update, Trump has now annou...


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September 16, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged and Toronto edged up 0.1%.
Costco was down 2.4% as an analyst report pointed out the high P/E ratio.
Penny stock Ceapro was down 5%.
Our best hope this week would be for good news on the NAFTA file.
A fe...


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Amazon updated September 16, 2018

Our report on Amazon is updated and rated Speculative Weak Buy / Hold at $1970.
I was very tempted to not put a rating on it because it is "too hard". Buffett has said that many investments should be put in the "too hard" basket and that he would jus...


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September 13, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 0.5% while Toronto was down 0.3%.
Linamar was up another 4.5% top $61.06. I suspect it was upgraded by some analyst(s) since there does not seem to be any NAFTA news to explain it.
Toll Brothers was down 1.6% to $3...


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September 12, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was down 0.3%.
West Texas Oil was back over $70 U.S. dollars.
Linamar was up 5.8% and AutoCanada was up 4.5%. I did not see any news to explain this. When (if?) a NAFTA deal is announced...


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September 11, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.4% while Toronto was up 0.2%.
Yesterday, after the close, Boston Pizza Royalties had announced that its latest distribution would remain at 11.5 cents. I had been wondering if the market had been expecting or fear...


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Alimentation Couche-Tard updated September 11, 2018

Alimentation Couche-Tard is updated and rated (higher) Buy at $65.99 which was the closing price yesterday. Its recent Q1 fiscal 2019 earnings report featured stellar gains. The next two quarters should also show some growth based on acquisitions. Ho...


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September 10, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while Toronto was down 0.2%.
Canadian Western Bank was down 1.7% to $35.16.
CRH Medical which is a higher risk pick, was up 2.3% to U.S. $4.35 or Canadian $5.72. I reduced my position by 20% today. I had added t...


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September 9, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% and Toronto was down 0.1%.
Costco was up 2.0% to $241.46 after releasing very strong same-store sales figures for August. I listened to a recorded call regarding the results and it was not clear to me how much...


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Canadian Western Bank preferred share updated to (lower) Sell September 9, 2018

Our report and rating on the Canadian Western Bank rate reset preferred share Series 5 CWB.PR.B is updated and now rated (lower) Sell at $24.57.
These shares will reset in less than seven months on April 30, 2019. The yield will reset to the yield on...


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September 6, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.4% while Toronto was down 0.2%.
WSP Global was up 7.3%. It did not release any news and so perhaps the price rise was due to an analyst upgrade in outlook.
Alimentation Couche-Tard was up 4.5% due to its strong...


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September 5, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.3% and Toronto was down 0.15%.
Toll Brothers was up 2.1%. AutoCanada was up 2.5%, possibly on optimism that the new management will turn things around.
Visa was down 3.5%. Its had strong increases in the past ...


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September 3, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was down 0.7%.
The cancellation of approval and therefore work permits for the Trans Mountain pipeline was an ugly blow for Alberta on Friday. That could continue to affect stocks this week...


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Ceapro updated September 3, 2018

Our one penny stock, Ceapro Inc., is updated and rated Sell at $0.45. When first added to this site, Ceapro was a profitable operating company that was also engaged in research that might payoff. But over almost the past two years sales declined and ...


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Canadian Western Bank updated September 1, 2018

Canadian Western Bank is updated and rated (higher) Buy at $35.50.
It was surprising and disappointing to see CWB drop $2.00 after releasing a strong earnings report on Thursday morning. The earnings growth of about 9% apparently fell short of analys...


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August 30, 2018

Happy Birthday to Warren Buffett who turned 88 today. He spent the day in Manhattan at a lengthy lunch for eight that he auctions off annually. This year the lunch auction had raised over $3 million for a charity. He was interviewed on CNBC today. I ...


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Canadian Western Bank Earnings out August 30, 2018

Canadian Western Bank reported earning this morning. Earnings per share up 9%, the dividend raised by 4% and giving a positive outlook. And the stock promptly declined 5%.
Headlines indicate analysts expected 12% earnings growth. And perhaps the 4% d...


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August 29, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.6% and Toronto was up 0.2%.
AutoCanada was up 5.1%.
On Thursday morning, Canadian Western Bank will report. With its commercial lending  focus, its results do not necessarily track that of the large Canadian Ban...


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Boston Pizza updated August 29, 2018

Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund is updated and rated Speculative Buy at $18.09.
The thesis for investing in the BP Royalty units was that you get a good yield and the yield should rise perhaps 1 to 3% annually on average. If that can be expected t...


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August 28, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was down 0.5%.
Linamar was up 3.3%.
Our one penny stock, Ceapro was down 10% after releasing its latest results.
The next update will be for Boston Pizza Royalty Units. On a yield basis it...


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August 27, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up another 0.8% and Toronto was up 0.5%.
Linamar rose 6.5% on news of progress on NAFTA. I suspect that if Canada gets a NAFTA deal done then Linamar could easily rise another 20% or more. Meanwhile it could be volatile...


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August 28, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up  0.6% to a new all-time closing high.
Toronto was up 0.2%.
Constellation Software was up 2.2%.
This week the Canadian market will get earnings reports from the remaining big banks. We will also get earnings for Canad...


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Starbucks added to our list August 25, 2018

Starbucks is added to the list rated Buy at $52.75.
Starbucks is not a screaming Buy but it is a solid blue-chip type company that is very likely to be a decent invest over the long term. If you are  customer then why now own at least some shares? An...


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August 23, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% and Toronto was down 0.1%.
AutoCanada was down 5.1%. If new management are successful in their plans to substantially increase earnings, those earnings are not likely to start to materialize until Q4. Q3 cou...


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August 22, 2018

On Wednesday, the market basically ignored Trump's latest troubles as the S&P 500 was about unchanged.
Meanwhile, Toronto was up 0.3%.
Canadian Western Bank was up 2.4% to $38.68. This was likely in reaction to good results from Royal Bank and al...


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August 21, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while Toronto was down by 0.2%.
Toll Brothers earnings were better than expected in all regards and the stock was up 13.8% and I think remains cheap.
Canadian Western Bank was up 1.8%.
AutoCanada managed a 5.8%...


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August 20, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while Toronto was about unchanged.
CRH Medical was up 6.0% in Toronto. With the strong recent gains, I am considering trimming my position in this company.
Toll Brothers is scheduled to report earnings before th...


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August 19, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% and Toronto was up 0.6%.
CRH Medical was up 4.5% to $5.14 in Toronto.
The big Canadian Banks will begin reporting their Q3 earnings this week. They will likely report continued growth in profitability on their l...


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Constellation Software updated August 17, 2018

Constellation Software is updated and rated Weak Buy / Hold at Canadian  $949. Note, though that it is analysed in U.S. dollars because it reports in U.S. dollars.
Constellation Software has been a fantastic investment over the years. I have generall...


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August 16, 2018

Markets were very strong on Thursday with the S&P 500 up 0.8%, the DOW surging 1.6% and Toronto up 0.5%.
Walmart surged 9.3% after a strong earnings report which including a big gain in on-line sales.
CRH Medical was up 6.3% in the U.S. and 4.9% ...


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August 15, 2018

Wednesday was a down day in the markets apparently due to worries about the situation in Turkey and contagion from that.
The S&P 500 was down 0.8%. Toronto was down 1.2% as the price of West Texas oil fell to about U.S. $65.
Most stocks were down...


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August 14, 2018

Tuesday's markets were strong with the S&P 500 up 0.6% and Toronto up 0.5%.
Dollarama was up 4.0% although it did not issue any news. Many stocks were up in the range of 1% to 1.5% today. Linamar was up 2.0%.
Stantec was down 0.4%. But after the ...


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Costco update August 14, 2018

The report for Costco is updated and rate Weak Sell / Hold at $220.31 (That was the analysis price, it's 221.33 as I post this).
Costco is a fantastic business. It's high P/E (34 currently) is the reason that I have typically rated the stock as Weak ...


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August 13, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.4% and Toronto was down 0.5%.
AutoCanada fell another 6.5% to $10.05. Trump's threats about auto tariffs are another factor pushing this stock down.
Toll Brothers was down 4.2% to $34.17. They will report earning...


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AutoCanada update August 11 2018

The report for AutoCanada is updated and rated Speculative Buy at $10.75.
This has been a very (very) disappointing investment since it was added to this site on July 14, 2015 rated Buy at $40.36. At that point it had already declined from a high of ...


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AutoCanada’s ugly Q2 earnings – August 9, 2018 and a P.S. added

AutoCanada released its Q2 results and they are extraordinarily poor.
They are replacing the CEO (though weirdly keeping him on as an adviser in the area of relations with the various auto makers and dealership acquisitions).
The CFO is resigning but...


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August 9, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% but Toronto rose 0.6%.
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund released Q2 earnings which I found to be somewhat disappointing. The increase in same-store franchise-fee-eligible sales that I thought would occur d...


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Stantec updated August 9, 2018

Stantec is updated and rated (lower) Buy at Canadian $34.14 or U.S. $26.20 after releasing Q2 earnings.
Q2 results were hampered by continued losses related to a few projects that Stantec inherited in its 2016 purchase of MWH Global. These were Const...


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August 9, 2018 10:45 am eastern

Boston Pizza Royaties Q2 results are out this morning. The results are at least moderately disappointing with same-store-franchise-eligible sales down 0.4% and this is despite some menu price increases and increased take-out orders. Traffic volume in...


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August 8, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was up 0.2% despite a decline in oil prices.
Canadian Tire surged 3.2% after announcing it would partner with Petco to bring bring Petco's prducts into its stores and online. It was not ...


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August 7, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% while Toronto was down 0.8%.
Based on my Melcor update I added a little to my position in that stock.
I also added a little to AutoCanada which will report on Thursday. It's certainly possible that AutoCanada's...


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August 6, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up another 0.35% while Toronto was closed.
Berkshire Hathaway was up 2.9% on its good earnings results. I had mentioned that Berkshire had not yet bought back any shares under its new plan and I thought that might be a ...


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Melcor Developments updated August 5, 2018

Melcor Developments is updated and once again is rated Strong Buy at $14.52.
It is frustrating to see this stock languish at just under half of book value. Not only does the equity per share have a value that is likely around twice the share price bu...


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August 5, 2018

On Friday, markets were strong with the S&P 500 up 0.5% although Toronto was up only 0.1%.
Berkshire Hathaway released its Q2 numbers on Saturday morning. They were strong. Of interest they reported no share buybacks have taken place. In isolatio...


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CRH Medical updated August 4, 2018

The report for CRH Medical is updated and rated Speculative Buy at U.S. $3.45 or Canadian $4.49. While nominally a Canadian company it is in fact a 100% U.S. company in substance and my report is in U.S. dollars.
This company was added to the site ra...


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August 2, 2018

Thursday saw the S&P 500 rise 0.5% and Toronto rise by 0.2%.
CRH Medical was up 3.5% after reporting earnings. The market apparently agreed with my assessment (on a quick look at the earnings) that the earnings report was good but not great.
The ...


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August 1, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% and Toronto was down 0.35%.
TFI International was up 5.2%. This has been a very well run company. Reducing my position in this name earlier this year has not turned out so well. Sometimes it seems that the ...


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Melcor REIT report updated August 1, 2018

The report on the Melcor REIT has been updated and rated (lower) Buy at $8.17.
On the one hand the 8.2% yield is highly attractive. And the units are trading at 73% of book value. And the REIT is doing a good job of signing on new tenants and keeping...


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August 1, 2018 10:00 am eastern

On Tuesday the S&P 500 and Toronto were both up 0.5%.
TFI International was down 2.2% giving up part of recent gains. In contrast Constellation Software was up 2.5% recovering part of a recent decline.
FedEx was up 2.2% and has been volatile of late....


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July 30, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% and Toronto was down 0.3%.
Heineken fell 5.3% after releasing first half earnings.
Constellation Software slipped another 4.2%.
The Canadian dollar is at 76.7 U.S. cents which is a six week high.
West Texas oi...


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July 30, 2018 7 am eastern some travel and market notes

I ate at the large BP at Niagara Falls, BP calls this a flagship location. On a Saturaday afternoon it was certainly very busy although not full. Almost any food and drink business in Niagara Falls seems to be quite busy due to the crowds.
Sunday mor...


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July 28, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.3% and Toronto was down 0.4%.
TFI International (formerly TransForce) was up 10.0% after releasing Q2 earnings. It's now up 32% year to date and 67% since being added to this site rated (lower) Strong Buy on Octo...


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July 27, 2018 before market opening

The main recent problem processing PayPal payments including new subscriptions have been (it appears) solved. Nevertheless, I am working on having a second payment processor to provide more choice in payments. For now, I am leaving the subscriber pag...


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July 25, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.9% adn Toronto was up 0.2%.
CN Rail was up 4.7% after reporting Q2 earnings. This has been a stellar long term investment. It usually looks expensive but seems to end up justifying the price paid. Probably wise ...


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July 25, 2018 7 am eastern – some travel observations

When traveling, I like to check out and document anything I see related to companies on our list or just observations on the economy.
At the Edmonton airport on July 19 at just before noon I saw that the big Couche-Tard store in the arrivals area was...


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July 24, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.5% while Toronto fell 0.2%.
BHP Billiton jumped 5.1% (The BBL American Depository receipts in New York). I don't see any news or earnings release to explain that. It might have been an increase in the price of iron or...


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July 24, 2018 7:10 am eastern

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while Toronto was down 0.1%.
Boston Pizza units were down 2.6% to $18.33
No doubt, we are all getting tired of too many stocks giving opportunities to buy rather than just giving gains.
In this case the yield on the...


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July 22, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% while Toronto was down 0.65%.
Linamar was down 4.8% due to tariff war fears. The U.S. Commerce department was conducting hearings late last weak regarding the (preposterous) issue of whether auto and auto part...


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July 20, 2018 10 am eastern time

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.4% while Toronto was up 0.4%.
CRH Medical was up 3.5% to $4.18. It has settled back from the $.50 to $4.60 range it reached in early May. The market is still dealing with the uncertainty of how profitable it wi...


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July 18, 2018

Firstly, as you likely noticed, I have a new contributor, Zack Trease, to InvestorsFriend who has written some posts that you see below. We actually intended his posts to show up on a separate page. They showed up here on the daily posts page before ...


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July 17, 2018

Tuesday saw the S&P 500 rise 0.4% and Toronto 0.15%.
Linamar was up 3.0% to $59.38 modestly rewarding those who were brave enough to buy near its recent low of under $55.
Toll Brothers was up 2.8%. My betting is that this stock will rise as the U...


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July 16, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% and Toronto was down 0.4%.
Linamar recovered 2.75%. There was not much movement of particular note in most of the stocks on our list.
A headline this morning on BNN television said that U.S. consumer spending ...


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July 15, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% while Toronto was about flat (it was down marginally).
AutoCanada was down another 0.1% to $15.32. Earlier in the day it was as low as $14.74.
Reviewing its press releases I took notice that in addition to Arlen...


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July 12, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each up 0.9% which made for a strong day in the markets.
Constellation Software was up a hefty 4.6% and has continued to be a real winner even when it seems expensive. Similarly, Amazon was up another 2.4...


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Alimentation Couche-Tard updated July 12, 2018

The report for Alimentation Couche-Tard is updated and rated (higher) Buy at $62.20.
The fact that this is (inexplicably) now Canada's largest company by revenue does not seem to have gotten much attention.
It now only derives about 13% of its revenu...


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July 11, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.7% and Toronto was down 0.8%. Today, the market took notice of Trump's trade was threats and his insults to NATO and Germany.  It's hard to argue with his economic success so far. Time will tell if that contin...


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July 10, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.35% and Toronto was up 0.6% to a record high.
The record high on Toronto is welcome, but it is not necessarily cause for any great celebration, and the achievement of a record high certainly is not a recent to con...


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July 9, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.9% and Toronto was up 0.5%.
FedEx was up 2.9% recovering some of its recent decline.
C.N. rail was up 2.7% to a record high.
Linamar bounced up 2.7%,
Toll Brothers was up 2.2%.
Couche-Tard was up 1.75% before repor...


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July 8, 2018

Friday was a positive day in the North America stock markets as the S&P 500 rose 0.85% and Toronto rose 0.65%.
Statistics Canada reported the labour Force survey results for June. The report was positive with 32,000 jobs added. More people return...


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July 5, 2018

On Thursday, the U.S. markets were quite strong with the S&P 500 rising 0.9%. Toronto, however was down 0.2%.
Q2 earnings reports from U.S. companies will start to be released next week.
Also Alimentation Couche-Tard will release on Monday its Q4...


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AutoCanada’s Strategic Review and Growth Strategy July 5, 2018

AutoCanada
With AutoCanda currently undergoing a 'Strategic Review", I wanted to put down some thoughts about the company's strategy and its competitive advantages. I will also send these to the Special Committee of the Board that is currently lookin...


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July 4, 2018

On Wednesday, U.S. markets were closed for the holiday while Toronto was up 0.3%.
Canadian Western Bank rose 1.9%.
The Enbridge rate reset preferred share that is on our list rose 0.6% to $20.60. These shares will reset to the yield on the government...


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July 3, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.5% while Toronto was down 0.1%.
Canadian Western Bank was up 1.9%.
Couche-Tard was down 2.9%, giving back a portion of its recent partial recovery. There was news today that Irving Oil will acquire 13 and brand ...


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July 2, 2018

On Monday, the Toronto Stock market was closed for the holiday and the S&P 500 ended the day up 0.3%.
Oil remains strong at U.S. $74.50 for West Texas Intermediate.
Trump is complaining that OPEC has manipulated oil prices higher than they should...


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July 1, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% while Toronto was up 0.6%.
Linamar recovered 3.2% to $58.91. Perhaps Thursday was the day to buy.
The first half of 2018 has not yielded much return for most investors. The Toronto stock index is up 0.5% in thes...


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June 28, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 0.6% while Toronto was down 0.3%.
Linamar was down 4.5%. This came after CEO and founding family member Linda Hasenfratz painted a very grim picture of what would happen to the entire North America economy if heavy...


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June 27, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.9%. And Toronto was down 0.3%. Earlier in the day both markets had been up.
CRH Medical was down 3.9% and has generally given back some of its recent gains.
Toll Brothers was down 2.3%. Yet when I check for ne...


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June 26, 2018

On Tuesday, markets rebounded somewhat and the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and Toronto was up 0.6%.
West Texas oil was up about 2.5% and sits at U.S. $70.63 which is close to $94 Canadian which is actually not at all a low price for oil if you look at sa...


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June 25, 2018

Monday was a down day in the markets with the S&P 500 falling 1.4% and Toronto down 1.6%.
Most stocks were down on the day. This was blamed on Trump's escalating trade wars.
Walmart was an exception and rose 1.9%. I suppose higher prices for Chin...


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June 24, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2%.
Toronto was up 0.7% as the price of oil climbed because OPEC agreed to production increases that were smaller than expected/feared (feared by those who want higher oil prices, which is certainly not everyone).
...


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June 21, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% and Toronto was down 0.5%.
AutoCanada was down 3.8% losing some of the little bounce it had had on news that it will look at strategic alternatives.
Linamar was down another 2.9% on trade war worries.
I was ...


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June 20, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2%.
Toronto was up 0.6% and has crept up to a new record closing high. That's a good thing but not exactly earth-shattering. Stock markets should be expected to trend up over time and therefore must at least occ...


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June 19, 2018 comment and an update for TFI International

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.4% (modest compared to the decline of 1.1% in the DOW). Toronto was also down 0.4%.
BHP Billiton was down 2.9% in New York. This was due to lower commodity prices. Volatility is par for the course with commodity...


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June 18, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% while Toronto was up 0.4%.
AutoCanada recovered 2.8% after it announced that it has, at the request of an activist shareholder, formed a Special Committee of the board to look into strategic alternatives and a...


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June 17, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 ended the day down just 0.1% although it been down considerably more earlier in the day on trade war worries. Toronto was also down 0.1%.
BHP Billiton was down 3.7% which I believe was due to commodity price declines.
WSP G...


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June 14, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 0.25% and Toronto was up 0.4%.
Linamar recovered 2.0%.
CN Rail was up 1.0% to an-time high. That should be no surprise. CN has marched high fairly steadily ever since its Initial Public Offering in November 1995 at...


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June 13, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.4% and Toronto was down 0.1%.
The Federal Reserve Bank in the U.S. increased interest rates by the expected 0.25% and also apparently signaled that there will be two more rate increases by the end of 2018 and ...


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June 12, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each up 0.2%.
AutoCanada was down 4.4% and so it seems the market is not convinced much will come of the activist investor's request to put the company up for sale even though the company did not reject th...


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June 11, 2018 AutoCanada

AutoCanada has responded to the activist shareholder as follows:
"AutoCanada Inc. ("AutoCanada" or the "Company") (ACQ.TO) today acknowledged receipt of a letter from Clearwater Capital Management. The Company's Board of Directors welcomes constructi...


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June 11, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% while Toronto rose 0.4%.
AutoCanada was up 5.8% after "activist investor" Clearwater Capital Management released a copy of a letter that it sent to the AutoCanada Board basically requesting the company to put it...


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June 10, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
AutoCanada recovered 3.2%.
Dollarama recovered 3.5%
Toll Brothers was up 3.0%
The trade spat between Canada and the U.S. appears to be at risk of developing into a significant trade wa...


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Canadian Western Bank updated June 10, 2018

The report for Canadian Western Bank is updated and the stock is rated (higher) Buy at $37.05.
On Thursday, CWB reported strong growth in its Q2. In its 2017 annual report, the company very much emphasized that it intends to focus even more heavily o...


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June 7, 2018

Thursday's action saw the SP&P 500 finish down 0.1% and Toronto was about unchanged with a 0.05% gain.
As expected, Canadian Western Bank released a strong earnings report for its Q2. Adjusted earnings were up about 19% year over year. Basically ...


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June 6, 2018

Wednesday was mostly a positive day on the markets.
The S&P 500 was up 0.9% and Toronto was up 0.4%.
A report this morning indicated that U.S. exports reached a record high in April and the U.S. trade surplus fell modestly but remained at $46 bil...


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June 5, 2018 comment and an update for American Express

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% and Toronto was up 0.4%.
The seemingly unstoppable Amazon was up another 1.9%.
CRH Medical was down 2.2% but this gives back only a small amount of the recent gains.
Yesterday I doubled my small remaining posit...


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June 4, 2018 comment and an update for VISA Inc.

Monday was a strong day in the markets as the S&P 500 rose 0.45% although Toronto was up only 0.5%.
Couche-Tard was up 2.3% but remains down about 15% this year. Based on past years, it will not report its results for the fiscal year ended April ...


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June 3, 2018 comment and Berkshire Update

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up a hefty 1.1% while Toronto was down 0.1%.
There were no particularly noteworthy moves in the stocks on out list.
The report for Berkshire Hathaway is updated and rated (lower) Buy at $192.23
Due to its insurance oper...


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May 31, 2018

Thursday was mostly a negative day on the markets.
The S&P 500 was down 0.7%. Toronto managed a 0.1% gain.
Most of the stocks on our list were down. I started a small position in Canadian Tire today.
The trade war between Canada and the U.S. is b...


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May 30, 2018

Markets bounced back on Wednesday with a 1.3% gain for the S&P 500 and 0.8% for Toronto.
With Kinder Morgan Canada down about 2% earlier today (finished down 0.9% at $15.95) I decided to double my small position. That is not based on my own analy...


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May 29, 2018

Tuesday was a negative day on the markets as the S&P 500 declined 1.2% (and the DOW was down 1.6%) and Toronto was down 0.6%. Apparently the U.S. decline was linked to fears about the implications of yet another election in Italy.
U.S. financial ...


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Transmountain Kinder Morgan pipeline May 29 10:20 am eastern

This morning's news about the pipeline nationalization was to me a pleasant surprise. Not a shock since the idea had been floated but a surprise. I think the alternative would have been that Kinder Morgan Canada would have announced it could not proc...


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May 28, 2018

On Monday, the U.S. markets were closed for the Memorial Day holiday. Toronto was down 0.4%.
Our one and only penny stock, Ceapro bounced up 10%. They have their annual meeting tomorrow. This stock is highly speculative by nature. The company is curr...


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May 27, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each down 0.2%.
Oil (West Texas) has declined about 5% to $67.14. Apparently this was due to rumors of OPEC volume increases.
Those holding various stocks are always waiting for positive news. Mostly we wai...


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May 24, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% and Toronto was down 0.1% as Trump rattled markets by canceling the meeting with the North Korean leader and by looking into excuses for imposing duties on vehicle imports.
Linamar was down 1.8% to $67.24. I...


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May 23, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% and Toronto was down 0.1%.
Couche-Tard was up 3.5%.
Linamar was down 1.9%.
AutoCanada was down 2.4%.
Markets are set to open moderately down on Thursday and Trump targets auto and truck imports.
...


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Toll Brothers updated May 23

Toll Brothers is updated and now rated (lower) Strong Buy at $39.58 (that was a price from earlier today, it closed at $39.91.
For those holding it, the recent price decline is certainly disappointing.
It's a cyclical industry and so projecting futur...


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May 22. 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.3% while Toronto was down 0.1%.
Canadian Western Bank was up 1.6%. Perhaps the market is starting to give some credit for the higher oil prices.
Toll Brothers was down 9.6% after reporting earnings. Despite many...


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May 22, 2018 10:00 am eastern

Toll Brothers has fallen about 8% this morning after releasing earnings.
I though the earnings release had good points (revenues up 17%, home deliveries up 15% in dollars) but the bottom line earnings were down slightly (probably partly due to higher...


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May 21, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% while Toronto was closed.
FedEx was up 2.1%.
Toll Brothers was up 1.1% and will report earnings before the open tomorrow (Tuesday).
CRH Medical was up 2.9%.
...


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May 20, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.3% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
Toll Brothers was up 1.8% to $43.18 which came after it had slipped under $41 earlier in the week.
Constellation Software was up 1.5% to $997.68. The stock seems expensive in relatio...


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May 17, 2019

Thursday's markets saw the S&P 500 down 0.1% while Toronto was up 0.2%.
I did end up buying back half of the portion of my Linamar shares that had sold on May 10 at $74.90. I paid $70.32. I was tempted to wait ans see if Linamar drops again which...


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May 16, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.4% and Toronto was up 0.1%.
Notable gainers include:
BHP Billiton (The BBL shares) up 1.7% to $47.05. These shares had trended down from $45 in February and bottomed at under $39 on April 9th. This is a case whe...


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May 15, 2018

Tuesday's action in the markets saw the S&P 500 down 0.7% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
The U.S. 10 year government bond yield rose 8 basis points to 3.08% from 3.00%.
The 10-year Canadian government bond yield is at 2.42% as of yesterday. That rais...


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Boston Pizza Royalty results disappointing May 15 2018

The Boston Pizza Royalty units results for Q1 are out this morning and are weak and disappointing although not devastatingly so.
In this particular case GAAP net income means little and the value of the units is driven by growth (or decline) in same-...


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May 14, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% while Toronto was up 0.6%.
TFI International was up 2.2% to $37.81 and has risen nicely since it reported excellent Q1 results on April 25. It's been a growth-by-acquisition story that has worked very well.
I am...


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Melcor Developments updated May 14, 2018

Melcor Developments is updated and remains rated Strong Buy at $15.40 (That was the price earlier today although it closed at $15.70). Earnings are volatile so perhaps the attractive P/E of 8.6 is not all that relevant. But the fact that the shares t...


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May 13, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and Toronto was up 0.15%.
Canadian Tore was down 2.0% as investors worry about its announced acquisition of Helly Hanson.
CRH Medical was up 6.6% to $4.49 in Toronto and 9.2% to $3.55 in U.S. trading. It has mad...


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May 10, 2018

Thursday was a generally positive day in the markets.
The S&P 500 was up 0.9% and Toronto was up 0.3%.
BHP Billiton (BBL) was up 1.9%.
Stantec was up 1.9% after reporting earnings that were I guess reasonably good. They do still have some lingeri...


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2017 Annual Investment Review

May 10, 2018

Hey Everyone,

The email is about an hour read, so for the 90% of you who have more important things to do, the sections are outlined in big, bold font in the following order:

  1. Results
  2. Portfolio
  3. Performance Analysis
  4. Lessons Learned in 2017
  5. My Thoughts On…
  6. Current Opportunities 2018
  7. New Resources

May 9, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 1.0% while Toronto was up 0.4%.
BHP Billiton was up 3.1% (the BBL American Depository Receipts in New York).
The Enbridge pref share ENB.PF.A on our list was up 3.2% on news that Enbridge is selling some assets. I...


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May 8, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged while Toronto was up 0.2%.
AutoCanada was down another 3.2%. (See update in the post before this one).
Melcor Developments released Q1 earnings after the close. I will be looking at this very closely an...


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AutoCanada updated May 8, 2018

AutoCanada is updated and rated Buy at $17.34. Based on trailing year earning it could easily be rated (higher) Buy. But Q1 2018 was quite weak and there is some danger that the weakness will continue. On the hand its recent  acquisition of 8 dealers...


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May 7, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 0.35% and Toronto was up 0.5%.
Constellation Software was up 2.1%.
AutoCanada was down another 4.0%. I plan to post an update tomorrow. Q1 adjusted earnings were quite weak. In part this was due to the net impact of ...


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May 6, 2018

Friday was a strong day in the markets although AutoCanada was a notable exception.
The S&P 500 was up 1.3% and Toronto was up 0.7%.
CN Rail was up 2.2%, Linamar was up 2.1%.
AutoCanada was down 10.4% after releasing earnings. The quarter was def...


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May 3, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% (but had been down more like 1.2% earlier in the day). Toronto ended the day about unchanged.
CRH Medical was up 3.0% to $4.08  in Toronto and 4.9% to U.S. $3.20 in the U.S. It has held onto the gains it ach...


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May 2, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.7% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
Melcor was up 3.45% but it is very thinly traded and can be volatile for that reason.
Alimentation Couche-Tard was down 2.2%.
In the FedEx update this week I noted that the income...


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May 1, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 rose 0.25% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
CRH Medical rose 13.5% in Toronto to $4.04 and 10.7% to $3.10 in U.S. trading. This was because it released Q1 earnings. It also announced another modest acquisition, acquiring 51% if ...


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April 30, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.8% and Toronto was down 0.4%.
Berkshire Hathaway was down 1.8% to $193.73 and might be worth nibbling on in advance of its Q1 earnings to be released on Friday which will be followed by its famous annual meeting ...


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FedEx Update April 30, 2018

FedEx is updated ad rated Buy at $247. This stock is down 1% this year to date but that was after rising 34% in 2017. Given that large rise in 2017 I was predisposed to thinking this stock would rate no more than a Hold rating. But its earnings have ...


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April 29, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.1% and Toronto was up 0.2%.
Alimentation Couche-Tard was up 3.6% to $56.91. This is a welcome increase but I am hopeful of a better recovery in this stock. It reached a a high of close to $68 early this year and it...


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Canadian National Railway April 29, 2018

Further to yesterday's update of CN Rail, I have made a few minor edits to the report emphasize that a new risk in 2018 is the state of NAFTA negotiations given that one third of its traffic crosses the border. I also added a few details about which ...


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Canadian National Railway Company updated April 28, 2018

CN rail, Canadian National Railway Company is updated and rated (lower) Buy at $100.65. The As detailed int he report, CN stumbled through this past winter and encountered operational problems when traffic was higher than expected and the weather was...


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April 27, 2018

Thursday was a strong day for the markets with the S&P 500 up 1.0% and Toronto up 0.8%.
Most stocks on our list were up.
Stantec rose 3.9% (see previous post)
Amazon rose 3.9% and is set to rise noticeably on Friday after it released Q1 results t...


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April 26, 2018 11:00 am eastern

Stantec is up 4.6% this morning to $33.20 on news that it has put the construction company portion of its relatively recently acquired MWH division under strategic review (it wants to sell the division). This would be good in that it would get Stante...


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April 25, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each up 0.2%.
CN Rail was up 2.4%. I am in the process of updating the report for CN.
Toll Brothers was up 2.5%.
AutoCanada rebounded 7.8%.
Ceapro bounced up 9.1%.
My small position in VISA got sold on M...


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April 24, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 fell 1.3% while Toronto was down 0.5%.
AutoCanada was down 4.6%. It looks like good value but the market is not yet convinced of that. We will know more when it releases earnings on May 3, after the close.
Amazon was down ...


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April 24, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was about unchanged and Toronto was up 0.4%.
Couche-Tard was up 2.4%.
TFI Industries was up an additional 1.65%.
Penny Stock Ceapro bounced up 8.7% mostly recovering Friday's decline.
Statistics Canada reported a decline in...


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April 23, 2018 11:45 pm eastern time, 5:45 pm in Amsterdam

Statistics Canada released figures for February sales at food service and drinking places. This is relevant to the prospects for Boston Pizza units and other restaurant stocks.
February sales in Canada were up 4.4% in February versus one year ago. On...


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April 23, 2018 3:30 am

On Friday, Statistics Canada released retail sales figures for February which were up a strong 3.5% for Canada (year over year) driven by a 4.2% increase in Ontario which is likely related more to price increases related to the higher minimum wage as...


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April 21, 2018 Amsterdam

On Friday, I had a private tour of Amsterdam Stock Exchange for just myself (and three somewhat reluctant others traveling with me). They include a brief history lesson and a little trading simulation game and it was actually fun for everyone. Also t...


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April 21, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down 0.85% while Toronto was up 0.2%.
WSP Global was up another 2.0%.
Penny stock Ceapro was down 6.1% after releasing earnings. Earnings for 2017 were weak but that situation had developed for at least a year and is no...


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April 20, 2018 7:00 am Amsterdam time, 1:00 am eastern time

Thursday's session saw the S&P 500 down 0.6% and Toronto down 0.5%.
Most of our stock picks were down including Toll Brothers down 3.7%, AutoCanada down 2.7% and Alimentation Couche-Tard down 1.6%.
Meanwhile American Express was up 7.6% after rel...


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April 18, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 rose 0.1% while Toronto climbed 1.1%.
West Texas oil is at U.S. $68.75 which is a three year high.
The Bank of Canada left interest rates unchanged today.
BHP Billiton was up 3.5% to $43.00 for the BBL shares in New York...


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April 18, 2018 4:40 am eastern time (9:40 am in Ireland)

On Tuesday, markets managed to rise for two days in a row which seems rare lately.
The S&P 500 was up 1.1% and Toronto was up 0.35%.
Seemingly unstoppable Amazon was up 4.3%.
Boston Pizza Royalties was up 2.9%.
Alimentation Couche-Tard continued ...


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April 16, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 shrugged off the firing of missiles into Syria that occurred Friday evening and rose 0.8% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
Costco rose another 3.0% to $194.58. It had dipped to as low as $179 earlier this year and still looked ex...


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April 14, 2018

Friday was a less volatile day in the markets as the S&P 500 fell 0.5% and Toronto was about unchanged.
Most stocks were relatively stable.
WSP Global was up another 2.2%.
Some smaller companies were more volatile including CRH Medical up 3.7%. A...


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Comment on Bus Safety April 12, 2018

The horrible tragedy in Humboldt Saskatchewan took the lives of at least two kids from St. Albert, a suburb of Edmonton that has been my home for 23 years and where my kids were raised. I don't know the families but I suspect they were not too many d...


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April 12, 2018

In what seems to be a bit of an alternating daily pattern, markets were up on Thursday as Trump clarified that when he told Russian to get ready for missiles "because they will be coming" he did not say when.
The S&P 500 was up 0.8% on Thursday a...


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April 11, 2018

Sometimes it feels like the U.S. market is taking turns, one day up and one day down. Yesterday was up, today was down somewhat.
On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.55% while Toronto was about unchanged.
There were no particularly notable moves ...


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April 11, 2018 6:10 am eastern

On Tuesday, the volatility continues with the S&P 500 up 1.7% and Toronto up 0.2%.
Oil (West Texas Intermediate) is at U.S. $65.68.
Most stocks on our list were up. BHP Billiton was particularly strong rising 4.85% for BBL American Depository Rec...


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How to Finance Your Slurpees

April 10, 2018

Good Afternoon All!

Today I write to you regarding one of Canada’s market darlings.

There are few Canadian companies who have grown their earnings ten-fold (26% CAGR) over the last ten years. Here’s an exhaustive list of the companies we know that have managed to do that:

April 9, 2018

On Monday, markets continued to be volatile. The DOW closed up 46 points but had been up over 400 points at the high point today. The S&P 500 ended the day up 0.3% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
Most stocks were up modestly on the day.
Kinder Morgan ...


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Heineken N.V. updated April 8, 2018

Heineken is updated and rated (lower) Sell at 90.20 euros on the Amsterdam stock exchange or $55.20 on New York for the American Depository Receipt HEINY which equates to one half of a Heineken share.
Heineken is best known for its namesake beer bran...


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April 8, 2018

Today, I am posting from the Atlantic Ocean aboard the Brilliance of the Seas on the fourth day of a cruise from Tampa. The first stop is in the Azores. Then three stops in Ireland (Cork, Waterford and Dublin).
We finish in Amsterdam where I will tou...


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April 5, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 0.7% and Toronto was up 1.3%.
CRH Medical was up 9.5% in a partial recovery of recent losses.
AutoCanada was up 4.9%.
Toll Brothers was up 1.8% to $44.62. A few days ago it had been down very close to $41.
Couche-T...


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April 5, 2018

Markets on Wednesday recovered from initial big losses related to trade worries and the S&P 500 ended the day up 1.2% while Toronto was down 0.1%.
Toll Brothers had a strong day rising 4.1%.
CRH Medical continues to slip back and was down 4.3% in...


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April 4, 2018 10:20 am eastern

The S&P 500 and Toronto are each down about 1% as the market continues to be concerned about escalating trade tensions and actions.
Obviously, with the U.S. market still trading at a high P/E markets could certainly continue to go down. I have ne...


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April 4, 2018 8:30 am eastern time

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
TFI International (formerly TransForce) was up 1.3% after announcing an acquisition of a Quebec trucking company with 300 tractors and 1000 trailers. This would seem to be a relativ...


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April 2, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 2.2% while Toronto was down 1.0%.
Most stocks were down including:
WSP Global down 2.9%, Canadian Western Bank down 2.6%. Walmart down 3.8%, Costco down 3.0%, and Toll Brothers down 3.0%.
U.S. government treasury b...


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April 2, 2018 noon eastern time

The second quarter of 2018 has started off on a negative tone with the DOW currently down 492 points or 2.0%.
This appears to be due (at least partly) to escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
Toll Brothers is down 4.7% at the moment t...


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April 1, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was up 1.4% and Toronto was up 1.3%.
WSP Global; was up 2.8%and BHP Billiton was up 2.2%.
Linamar was up 3.5%.
Thursday marked the end of the first quarter. The S&P 500 was down 1.2% in the quarter while Toronto was d...


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Constellation Software Report updated March 31, 2018

Constellation Software is updated and rated (lower) Sell at Canadian $874. (The report has the price in U.S. dollars because it reports in U.S. dollars). Constellation is a great company and exceptionally well managed. Historically, selling this comp...


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March 28, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each down 0.30%.
But many stocks were up. Boston Pizza recovered some ground rising 3.3%. Couche-Tard was up 2.9% and Stantec was up 1.4%. Despite a poor start to 2018 I think these investments will do w...


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March 27, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 1.7% giving back a good portion of Monday's gain of 2.8%. Toronto was down 0.5%.
Most of the U.S. stocks on our list that rose yesterday gave back a good portion of those gains today.
Boston Pizza Royalty Income F...


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March 26, 2018

On Monday, the S&P soared 2.8% as fears of a Trump trade war with China were reduced. Toronto was up 0.5%.
U.S. stocks that surged with the rally included FedEx up 4.5%, Berkshire up 3.6%, Costco up 3.5% and Amazon up 4.0%.
The Canadian stocks on...


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S&P 500 Valuation article updated March 25

My article on the valuation of the S&P 500 is updated. Based on actual trailing GAAP earnings the index looks over valued with a P/E of 23.6. But projections are that earnings will surge in 2018 due to the Trump income tax cuts. The article shows...


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March 25, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was down a hefty 2.1% and Toronto was down 1.1%.
Most stocks were down...
Canadian Western Bank was down 2.8% to $33.22. I grabbed a few more shares on Friday.
Couche-Tard was down another 1.7% and I added modestly to my po...


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March 22, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 fell a hefty 2.5% while Toronto was down 1.8%.
The spark was Trump's moves to impose new tariffs on Chinese imports. I don't think investors can claim to be shocked by this. Certainly Trump's anti-trade views have been a ...


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In the Footsteps of Buffet: More Value, Morguard

March 21, 2018

Hey Everyone,

It’s been awhile since I last emailed. But fear not, I have no shortage of topics to discuss. Today’s email is about a 10 minute read.

At the beginning of this week I invested in a company that I just recently discovered. Do I think it’s a necessary part of your portfolio? No, but if you’re interested in real estate, or looking for diversification, I think you will do well with this company. If you’re on Reddit, you may have seen my post on this already. I have expanded on it after feedback, but to augment this email, I’ll also quickly address some other market opportunities:

March 21, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.2% and Toronto was up 0.4%.
Linamar was up 2.5% to $73.52 after some positive news on the NAFTA front that the U.S.A was dropping its proposal that all cars coming into the USA under free trade arrangement wou...


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March 20, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.15% and Toronto was up 0.2%.
Couche-Tard was down 6.5% (see the post just below this one for details).
AutoCanada was down 2.0%.
Oil (at least the West Texas variety) was up 2.2% to U.S. $63.42. That's about $83 C...


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Alimentation Couche-Tard updated March 20, 2018

Alimentation Couche-Tard is updated and rated Buy at $59.60.
The stock dropped 6.5% today after it released earnings that "missed analyst expectations". I would say it is more accurate to say that its earnings came in lower than analysts incorrect fo...


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March 19, 2018 and a comment on Melcor

Markets were down on Monday with the S&P 500 falling 1.4% and Toronto down 0.8%.
BHP Billiton was down 2.6% in New York. This and the recent declines partly due to currency fluctuations as the stock has not fallen much in Australia. But it is fai...


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Linamar updated March 19, 2018

Linamar is updated and rated Strong Buy at $71.73.
There are always risks and Linamar's price reflects a certain amount of NAFTA fear and reflects the fact that auto production in North America slowed in the last half of 2018.
But looking at the valu...


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March 18, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.2% and Toronto was up 0.3%.
Toll Brothers was up 2.1%.
The Canadian dollar was down and is currently at 76.3 cents. I had been wanting to move some U.S. dollars back into Canadian dollars and have used this latest ...


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March 15, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
TFI International (TransForce) was down 2.9%. Our last rating was only (lower) Buy.
After the close, AutoCanada released Q4 results that were very strong. I don't know what the exp...


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March 14, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% while Toronto was about unchanged.
Toll Brothers was down 1.6% and is worth considering as a U.S. investment.
See the post just below this for an update and comments on Melcor.
I no longer have Liquor Store...


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Melcor Developments updated March 14, 2018

Melcor Developments is updated and remains rated Strong Buy, now at $14.00.
Certainly, Melcor's stock price has been disappointing since 2014. Some of the decline was warranted due to the lower oil prices and the weak Alberta economy. But when oil pr...


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March 13, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% while Toronto was up 0.3%.
Alimentation Couche-Tard was down 2.8%. I would be tempted to add to this stock on dips.
CRH Medical continued to slip back from its recent gains and was down 4.9%.
Linamar was down...


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March 12, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% whole Toronto was up 0.2%.
Melcor Developments was up 3.6% but that is not very meaningful on this thinly traded stock.
Note the previous post to this which updates the Melcor REIT.
Many Alberta-based stocks a...


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Melcor REIT updated March 12, 2018

The Melcor REIT is updated and rated Buy at $8.07 to yield 8.4%.
This REIT is trading at a 30% discount to the book value of the equity or a 14% discount to the total value of debt plus equity. Presumably there is investor fear about vacancies and re...


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March 11, 2018

Friday was a strong day for the U.S. markets with the S&P 500 up a hefty 1.7%.
Toronto was up 0.25%
Gainers included Visa up 1.9%, American Express up 2.6%, Berkshire up 3.7%, and FedEx up 3.0%.
CRH Medical retreated 4.7%.
My next update will be ...


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March 8, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 and Toronto were each up 0.4%.
Linamar was up 8.4% to $73.75 after releasing a strong Q4 report.
Melcor Developments failed to react to its strong Q4 / 2017 earnings report and closed up 0.5% at $13.97. This for a company...


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CRH Medical updated March 8, 2018

CRH Medical is updated and rated Speculative Weak Buy / Hold at U.S. $3.15 or Canadian $4.07. Basically I would not buy at this price. This has been a disappointing investment over the past 17 months since it was first added to the site. After an ini...


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March 7, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was close to unchanged (down 0.05%) while Toronto was down 0.5%.
CRH Medical was down 4.3%.
BHP (BBL on New York) was down 1.9% an the company has spoken out against Tump's tariff plans for steel and aluminum. BHP's main...


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March 6, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% and Toronto was about unchanged.
CRH Medical was up 12.8% in Toronto and a similar amount in New York. Apparently the market and or analysts were pleased with its Q4 report and the analyst conference call this ...


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March 6, 2018 1:10 pm eastern

With CRH up a little this morning, I took the opportunity to reduce my position by what amounted to 44%. I had added to my position at prices as low as U.S. $1.75 and some at about U.S. $2.35. So these shares were sold at a profit (based on a last in...


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March 5, 2018

Monday's markets improved through the day and the S&P 500 closed up 1.1% and Toronto rose 1.0%.
CRH Medical released Q4 results after the close. The revenue gains seemed quite positive and the outlook for revenue for 2018 seemed somewhat optimist...


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Stantec updated March 5, 2018

Stantec is updated and rated Buy at CAN $32.22 or U.S. $25.05 (It was analysed at the previous closing price, it closed today at $32.42 and U.S. $25.05). Stantec has been a prodigious creator of wealth over the years but the stock has been relatively...


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March 4, 2018

On Friday, the S&P 500 was up 0.5% (although the DOW was down 0.3%) and Toronto as down 0.1%.
AutoCanada was down 2.0%. They will not release Q4 results until March 15. I am expecting improved results in Q4 and and an improved outlook for 2018.
C...


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Toll Brothers updated March 2, 2018

Toll Brothers is updated and rated (higher) Buy at $43.91. The last update was on October 9, 2017 at $42.81. After that it went as high as about $52 before sliding back after the middle of January. I had reported trimming my position somewhat but I s...


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March 1, 2018

Markets fell on Thursday and Trump indicated he will impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to the U.S. I am not very familiar with the rules but for things subject to NAFTA the partners are allowed to impose anti-dumping or countervailing tari...


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February 28, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 1.1% and Toronto was down 1.5%. I don't know if there was any special reason. U.S. markets remain relatively close to record highs and seem somewhat jittery regarding higher interest rates. Lately a 1.1% move in...


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February 27, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 1.3% and Toronto was down 0.3%.
Toll Brothers was down 5.1% to $45.10 even though it reported strong Q1 fiscal 2018 earnings. Apparently the market was disappointed with the full year outlook. I believe it is a go...


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February 26, 2018

Monday was another strong day in the markets with the S&P 500 up 1.2% and Toronto up 0.5%.
Canadian Western Bank was up 2.5%.
CN rail was up 2.2%.
Berkshire Hathaway was up 3.9% after releasing Q4 earnings and the annual letter and after Buffett ...


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February 25, 2018

Friday was another strong day in the markets. The S&P 500 was up a hefty 1.6% and Toronto was up 0.8%.
Stantec was down 1.8% and I added modestly to my position in that company.
Warren Buffett's annual letter came out on Saturday. I will comment ...


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Canadian Tire Updated February 25, 2018

Canadian Tire is updated and rated Buy at $176.15.
This company has been extremely well managed and has set ambitious goals to keep improving and growing and has met those goals.
In the very long term it has created billion in value for shareholders....


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February 22, 2018

Thursday's markets were surprisingly strong or at least the DOW was, especially earlier in the day. The S&P 500 ended higher by just 0.1% and Toronto was down 0.1%.
It was disappointing to see Stantec down 11.0% after it released earnings.  GAAP ...


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February 21, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.55% as FED meeting minutes apparently caused the market to be more concerned about rising interest rates. Toronto was up 0.55%.
TFI International was up 10.5% after releasing Q4 earnings.
CN rail was up 2.8%.
...


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February 20, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.6% while Toronto was down 0.1%.
Most of the names on our list were down.
Walmart was down 10.2% to $94.11 after reporting earnings. Our last rating was (lower) Sell in October at $86.22. It had then promptly soa...


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February 20, 2018 11:20 am eastern

BHP Billinton came out with earnings which were strong but were lower than analysts expected. It also raised the dividend but my understanding is that they essentially have a policy of having a dividend that floats up as well as down with adjusted ea...


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February 18, 2018

Friday's markets saw the S&P 500 about unchanged and Toronto up 0.3%.
Fortis Inc. jumped 3.75% to $42.08 as the market perhaps decided that its recent slide was over done.
Kinder Morgan Canada Ltd was up 4.45% to $19.97 after it got some positive...


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February 16, 2018 10:15 am

A report this morning headlines that U.S. housing starts soared in January (albeit some of related to bad weather in December) and that housing permits are at a 10 year high. Despite that Toll Brothers was up only 0.8% to $47.08 and remains well belo...


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February 15, 2018

Stocks were mostly higher on Thursday as the S&P 500 rose 1.2% and Toronto was up 0.5%.
Canadian Tire surged 6.5% after reporting Q4 earnings. Costco was up 2.5%.
Constellation Software was up 3.1% after reporting Q4 earnings.
Dollarama was up 2....


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February 14, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was up 1.3% and Toronto was up 0.7%.
Notable gainers included BHP Billinton, up 3.2% in New York. Costco up 1.7% and Visa up 2.0%. Amazon up 2.6% (And they said trees don't grow to the sky).
Fortis was down 1.7% to $39.6...


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February 13, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up 0.3% and Toronto was down 0.2%.
TFI International was down 3.1% to $29.75. This company has a strong history of growth by acquisition and is very well managed. But it is in a tough industry. The price decline may be...


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What Will Buffett Say at Month End? February 13, 2018

Sometime around the end of this month, Warren Buffett will release his annual letter.
It's hard to predict what Buffett will write about, but here are my guesses in that regard.
The letter always starts by noting the percentage change in Berkshire's ...


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February 12, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 was up 1.4% and Toronto was up the same amount.
In part this was due to Trump releasing details of an infrastructure subsidy plan.
The plan seemed to get mixed reviews with some pointing out that the $200 billion is over te...


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February 10, 2018

On Friday, the U.S. markets once again were highly volatile and the DOW, at it low, was down 500 points before finishing the day up 330 points or 1.4%. The S&P 500 finished the day up 0.5% and Toronto finished down 0.2%.
A number of U.S. stocks r...


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February 8, 2018

On Thursday, the DOW ended the day down 1033 points or 4.15%. The S&P 500 was down 3.75% and Toronto was down 1.7%.
The biggest decliners on our list included Toll Brothers down 5.0%, American Express down 5.6%, Visa down 4.8%, FedEx down 4.7%, a...


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February 8, 2018 1:20 eastern

The Dow was down 680 at one point and 518 as I write this.
So, it seems that the days of wild swings and possible big down moves are continuing.
I never know where the market is headed short term. I imagine another day of headlines of losses could tu...


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February 8, 2018 10:00 am eastern

The results for Boston Pizza this morning were fairly weak. Not terrible, but weak. Distributable cash per unit declined 2.9% in Q4 and 0.6% for the year. Royalty-;igible same store sales which is the key performance number was negative 0.2% in Q4.
T...


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February 7, 2018

On Wednesday, U.S. markets were mostly higher but ended the day down slightly.
The S&P 500 was down 0.5% while Toronto was down 0.2%.
Canadian Western Bank was up 2/0%.
Canadian Tire was up 2.6%.
Statistics Canada released data for building permi...


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February 6, 2018 RRSP Tax and Math

There is widespread confusion about how RRSPs really work and whether they are a tax-avoidance mechanism or a mere tax deferral mechanism, or worse a "tax trap".
The following illustrates divergent views on the matter:
A tale of Two Attitudes Towards...


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February 6, 2018

U.S markets were once again not boring today, opening down then bouncing around considerably and then closely strongly higher.
The S&P 500 finished up 1.7%, the DOW was up 2.3% and Toronto was up 0.2%.
Boston Pizza was a notable winner today, up ...


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February 5, 2018 Easy Come, Easy Go

So, after falling 666 points on Friday, the DOW fell another 1175 today.
The S&P 500 was down 4.1%, the DOW was down 4.6% and Toronto was down 1.7%.
Many commentators are aghast. But they should really get a grip. The U.S. markets were roaring hi...


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February 5, 2018 WSP Global Inc. is added to our list

WSP Global is added to the list rated Buy at $58.75. Many Canadians may not be familiar with this company. I hope the "Description" cell of the report does a reasonable job of giving an overview of the company.
It's a growth-by-acquisition company. I...


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February 4, 2018

As of about 6:45 eastern the futures markets have the DOW down about 200 points. This often changes vastly over night so we will see where it opens.
In the last half of 2017 I had increased my cash position. As the U.S. market continued to soar that ...


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February 2, 2018

There was nothing boring about Friday's markets.
The S&P 500 tumbled 2.1% and Toronto was down 1.6%.
Despite the scary headlines of the DOW being down 666 points or 2.5%, this drop is not large in the context of the way the U.S. market roared ahe...


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February 2, 2018 (Groundhog Day) noon eastern

At minus 20 or so here in the Edmonton area any talk of an early end to winter is certainly premature.
Stocks are down today. In the case of U.S. markets that seems like a bit of overdue sanity.
Boston Pizza Royalty is down 4.7% to $19.55. That may b...


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February 1, 2018

On Thursday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1%. The Dow was up 0.1% but had been down earlier in the  day. U.S. markets have been gyrating a little. Tomorrow we will see how the market has reacted to several big earnings reports after the close today.
To...


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January 31, 2018

On Wednesday, the U.S. markets initially rebounded from Tuesday's losses but were volatile. The indexes were negative in the afternoon before closing at a modest gain with the S&P 500 up 0.05%. Toronto was about unchanged.
CN rail was up 1.2%. Bo...


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January 30, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 fell 1.1%. Despite the headlines, this is minor decline in the context of recent gains.
Toronto was down 0.9%.
Canadian Western Bank was down 2.7%.
Stantec was up 1.3% which was a nice gain on this negative day.
Boston Piz...


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January 29, 2018

Well, the U.S. market decided not to rise on Monday. Well, markets don't rise everyday. (And normally they don't rise 9 out of 10 days either, but that seems to be about the recent situation).
The S&P 500 was down 0.7% and Toronto was down 0.9%.
...


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January 29, 2018 10:30 am eastern time

Ceapro which is the only true penny stock on our list and which we have considered speculative for that and many other reasons announced this morning that it has lost a court judgement which appears to total $724,000 plus interest. (There a was anoth...


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January 27, 2018 BHP Billiton

BHP Billiton is added to the site rated Speculative Buy at $U.S. 25. As noted in my post of Han 26 at 12:50 I bought the slightly cheaper BBL. See the report for more about the stock tickers. This company depends heavily on commodity prices so is inh...


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January 26, 2018

UP, UP AND AWAY!!
On Friday, the S&P 500 surged another 1.2% while Toronto was up 0.2%.
Most stocks rose including Walmart, up 1.6%, Berkshire up 1.0%, Dollarama up 2.0%, Amazon up 1.75%.
Bombardier (no longer on our list)  had a great day, up 15...


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January 26, 2018 12:50 pm eastern

I am going to add BHP Billiton to the site probably rated Speculative Buy with an emphasis on Speculative. I usually don't look at commodity stocks but I am making an exception here. This is a huge and complex company and its value depends very heavi...


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January 25, 2018

On Thursday, the DOW surged ahead another 0.5% but the S&P 500 was only up 0.1%. Toronto was down 0.5%.
Canadian Tire was up 1.5%. Costco was up 1.9%. Dollarama was up 1.6%. Amazon was up 1.5%.
Toll Brothers was down 3.3%. It's always been somewh...


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January 24, 2018

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 was down 0.1% and Toronto was down 0.5%.
CN rail was down 2.1%. Stantec was down 1.5%, Toll Brothers was down 1.5%.
CRH Medical has continued to recover and was up 3.0%.
U.S. stocks have kept going up despite P/E ratios ...


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January 23, 2018

On Tuesday, the S&P 500 was up another 0.2% while Toronto was up 0.1%.
AutoCanada was up 3.0% and Amazon was up another 2.6%.
Boston Pizza Royalties was down 1.5% to $21.18 and yields 6.5%. Despite somewhat higher interest rates this is an attrac...


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January 22, 2018

On Monday, as the partial government shut-down looked to be a short-lived situation the S&P 500 rose 0.8%while Toronto was about unchanged.
Berkshire was up 1.3%, Costco up 1.1%, Toll Brothers 1.3%, Visa 1.3%, Amazon 2.5%... The good times roll o...


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January 21, 2018 9:40 pm eastern

The U.S. Senate has adjourned until tomorrow and so the U.S. government partial shutdown will last at least part of Monday. But it did appear that a vote on Monday morning might resolve matters for a few weeks.
Futures markets had been down only marg...


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January 21, 2018

Canadian Western Bank is updated and rated Buy at $40.55. It has already made a strong recovery from the lows it experienced in 2016 due to (apparently unfounded) fears that it might experience problems with sub-prime mortgages similar to the Home Ca...


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January 20, 2018

On Friday, the U.S. markets were unfazed by the impending (partial) U.S. government shutdown.
The S&P 500 was up 0.4%. Toronto was also up 0.4%.
CRH Medical was a notable gainer, up 6.7% in Toronto to $3.85. It's still down 32% from the price at ...


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January 18, 2018

On Thursday, the markets had what seems to be a rare down day.
The S&P 500 index was down 0.2% and Toronto was down 0.3%.
Our biggest gainer was Constellation Software, up another 1.6%.
A number of large U.S. financial companies have reported big...


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January 17, 2018

U.S. markets continue to be on fire. At the moment, this is a market that knows no fear.
The S&P 500 was up 0.9% on Wednesday and the DOW was up a scorching 1.25%. Meanwhile, Toronto was up 0.2%.
CRH Medical was up 6.5% to $3.44. The company cont...


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January 16, 2018

I didn't intend to take yesterday off from posting (It was Martin Luther King Day and U.S. markets were closed) but due to some other distractions that is how it turned out.
On Tuesday, U.S. markets first posted new within-day highs as the DOW burst ...


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January 12, 2018

U.S. markets soared again on Friday.
The S&P 500 rose 0.7% and the DOW was up 0.9% to 25,803. Toronto was up just 0.1%.
There appears to be a great deal of optimism that the Trump corporate income tax reductions will fall straight to the bottom l...


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January 10, 2018

Wednesday was a rare negative day in the markets.
The S&P 500 was down 0.1% and Toronto was down 0.4%.
Canadian stocks were likely negatively affected by the announcement that the U.S. is imposing countervailing duties on newsprint imports from C...


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January 9, 2018

Another day and another set of records in the U.S. markets.
S&P 500 up 0.1% while Toronto was about unchanged.
With the recent strength in markets, especially the U.S. markets, reasonably diversified equity portfolios and balanced portfolios have...


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January 9, 2018 9:35 am eastern

I notice Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. has an offering this morning (still open at TD Direct as I write this) that pays a minimum 5.0% on a rate reset preferred share. This seems tempting. Even with interest rates rising, 5% does not seem like a...


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January 8, 2018

On Monday, the S&P 500 ended the day up 0.2% while Toronto was down 0.2%.
Toll Brothers was up another 1.3%. Walmart, which we last rated (lower) Sell, was up 1.5%.
The rate reset preferred shares are generally still edging up and that's because ...


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January 5, 2018

Friday's action had the S&P 500 up another 0.7% and the Dow up 0.9%. The gains have continued to come fast and easy on Wall Street. Toronto, however, was down 0.4%.
Toll Brothers was up another 2.2% to $51.21. This company has worked out as a dec...


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Death & Taxes…or Bitcoin

January 5, 2018

Hey Everyone,

I’ve deliberated long and hard on whether I should write an email about the current cryptocurrency craze, and ultimately my decision was made for me. One of my favourite bloggers just wrote an excellent article on the topic:

January 4, 2018

Thursday was yet another wonderful day for stock investors. Especially U.S. stock investors.
The S&P 500 was up another 0.4%. The Dow was up 152 points or 0.6% as it cruised through the 25,000 point milestone without even slowing down to acknowle...


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January 3, 2018

Markets were up fairly strongly again today. The S&P 500 was up % and Toronto was up 0.4%.
Toll Brothers was up 4.3% to $50.42.
TFI Industries was up 3.2%.
I don't know any specific reason for these two rising today. But I do know that, like virt...


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January 2, 2018 and January 1, 2018

The market is off and running for 2018 with the S&P 500 rising 0.8% and Toronto rising 0.6% on this first trading day of the new year.
FedEx was up 3.2%.
CRH Medical was up 4.8% on Toronto to Canadian $3.47. This has been quite a volatile stock w...


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