| TSX Segment Index |
Trailing P/E (Click for update) |
Dividend Yield % (Click for update) |
ETF Stock Symbol, Price as at May 29,
'10 and MER (Click for updated price) |
Comment Note the valuation
comments are based on the trailing P/E ratios and the yields. As noted below
the P/E at times may not represent a good indication of value if the
earnings are expected to change readily compared to the trailing earnings. |
|
HIGHER YIELDING CANADIAN EQUITY ETFs |
| S&P/TSX Income Trust Index
and TSX Income Trust ETF |
22.2 |
8.0%
(index)
4.51%
(XTR fund)
|
XTR
$11.42 (0.55%
MER) |
The P/E is not attractive. Yield on the
index is attractive but yield on the ETF is much lower - perhaps due to
fund expenses. Many Trust earnings are volatile
with energy prices. When taxation hits in 2011, yields and earnings are
likely to fall, perhaps substantially. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Financials Index
and TSX Financials ETF and TSX Financials bull ETF and TSX Financials bear
ETF |
13.1 |
3.9%
(index)
3.8%
XFN
0%
HFU, HIE and HFD
|
XFN
$22.33 (0.55% MER)
HFU
$10.75
(1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIE $11.99
Single Bear 1.15% MER
HFD
$9.49 (1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
About 24 companies dominated by the big banks and life
insurance companies. Looks
attractive Note
that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are known to perform as
expected for short-term holding periods but may not perform as expected over
longer holding periods. Click on the ETF symbol to see a graph that
illustrates the problem. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Real Estate Index
TSX Real Estate ETF |
16.0 |
5.0%
(index)
3.7%
XRE
|
XRE $12.00 (0.55% MER) |
13 companies. Real Estate has a habit of
usually looking very
expensive on an earnings basis. The yield looks good and right now the P/E is
reasonably attractive. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Telecommunications Index |
13.3 |
6.2% |
No ETF |
Only about 5 companies. Looks attractively priced. But there is no ETF... |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Utilities Index |
17.7 |
5.0% |
No ETF |
9 companies. No ETF |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Energy Trust Index |
23.8 |
7.8% |
No ETF |
21 companies. Also faces the issue of taxation in 2011.
No ETF. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped REIT Index |
29.2 |
6.6% |
No ETF |
10 companies. Same comments as for Real Estate Index above
except the P/E here is very unattractive but the yield is attractive. No ETF |
| Dow Jones Canada Select Dividend Yield Index
TSX Dividend ETF |
14.2 P/B = 1.8 |
4.6%
index
4.0%
XDV
|
XDV $18.92 (0.50% MER) |
Appears quite attractive.
About 30 companies in
the ETF. Keep in mind their is a heavy exposure to the big bank stocks. |
| Dow Jones Canada Select Value Index
TSX Value ETF |
14.1 P/B =
1.7 |
4.3%
index
3.7%
XCV
|
XCV $18.87 (0.50% MER) |
61 companies. Appears
attractive |
|
S&P/TSX Canadian Dividend Aristocrats Index |
15.6
P/B = ? |
5.3%
index
4.5%
CDZ
|
CDZ $18.08 (0.65% MER) |
About 56 companies. Appears attractive. |
|
S&P / TSX Preferred Share Index |
not Applicable to
Preferred |
5.7%
index
5.2%
CPD
|
CPD $16.29 (0.45% MER)
|
About 58 companies. This
appears to be attractive |
| TSX Segment Index |
Trailing P/E (Click for update) |
Dividend Yield % (Click for update) |
ETF Stock Symbol, Price as at May 29,
'10 and MER (Click for updated price) |
Comment |
|
CANADIAN EQUITY ETFs |
| S&P/TSX Composite index
and TSX Composite ETF |
19.7 |
2.8%
index
2.5%
XIC
|
XIC TSX
$18.44 (0.25% MER) |
Appears somewhat over valued. Has a
heavy weighting to volatile finance and energy sectors. |
| S&P/TSX 60 (Large Cap) Index
and TSX 60 ETF and TSX 60 bull ETF and TSX 60 bear ETF |
18.4 |
2.7%
index
2.8%
XIU
No dividend on HXU, HIX or HXD
|
XIU
$17.25
(0.17%
HXU
$17.41 (1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIX
$12.35
Single Bear 1.15% MER
HXD
$12.22 (1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
Note the very low management expense fee (ratio). This
allows broad exposure to the Canadian stock market at a low fee. Appears
somewhat over valued. Has a
heavy weighting to volatile finance and energy sectors.
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are known to
perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not perform as
expected over longer holding periods. Click on the symbol HXU to see a graph
that illustrates the problem. |
|
S&P/TSX equity Index (Composite without Income Trusts) |
19.5 |
2.4% |
No ETF |
Same comment as for composite
index above applies |
| S&P/TSX Mid
and Small Cap Index (Completion
Index) and TSX mid-cap ETF |
25.4 |
3.1%
index
2.4%
XMD
|
XMD $18.68 (0.55% MER) |
Seems unattractive |
| S&P/TSX Small Cap Index
and TSX small cap ETF |
97 |
3.0%
index
1.6%
XCS
|
XCS
$14.44 (0.55% MER) |
Seems highly unattractive |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Consumer Discretionary Index |
27.0 |
2.8% |
No ETF |
There are only about 18 companies in the index, some
are poor fits. (Yellow pages, Thompson Reuters??) Seems like a meaningless sector. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Consumer Staples Index |
14.7 |
1.9% |
No ETF |
Neutral in attractiveness. Only about 12 companies mostly retail. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Metals & Mining Index |
14.0 |
0.6% |
No ETF |
About 13 companies. |
| S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index
and TSX Energy ETF and TSC Energy bull ETF and TSX Energy bear ETF |
23.6 |
2.8%
index
2.4%
XEG
No dividend on HEU, HIF or HED
|
XEG
$17.66 (0.55% MER)
HEU
$6.93 (1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIF
$9.44
Single Bear1.15% MER
HED
$6.00 (1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
About 43 companies.
Looks unattractive but that depends on oil and gas prices. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Health Care Index |
n.a. |
2.7% |
No ETF |
With about 4 companies, it is a joke to call this a
segment. |
|
S&P/TSX Capped Industrials Index |
16.2 |
2.4% |
No ETF |
About 19 companies many of which are not all
that "industrial". |
| S&P/TSX Capped Information technology Index
and TSX Information Technology Tech ETF |
17.8 |
n.a
index
n.a.
XIT
|
XIT $7.28 (0.55% MER) |
Appears unattractive - only about 5 companies in
this so-called "index" |
| S&P/TSX Capped Materials Index
TSX Materials ETF |
133 |
0.5%
index
n.a.
XMA
|
XMA
$18.39 (0.55% MER) |
50 companies, looks most unattractive and earnings here are unpredictable |
| Dow Jones Canada Select Growth Index
TSX Growth ETF |
19.3 P/B = 2.2 |
1.2%
index
1.4%
XCG
|
XCG $21.39 (0.50% MER) |
61 companies appears moderately unattractive. |
| Claymore Oil Sands
Sector ETF (note, fundamentals only updated quarterly) |
24.6 P/B =
1.9 |
1.8%
index
1.8%
CLO
|
CLO
$16.26
(0.60% MER) |
17 companies. This currently looks unattractive but valuation will change with oil prices. |
|
FIXED INCOME ETFs |
| Bond Type (Click for updated yield to
maturity and to see the individual bonds in the index) |
Average Term of Bonds in Years |
Average Yield to Maturity before
MER on index and cash yield on ETF |
ETF Stock Symbol, Price as at Jan 16,
'10 and MER (Click for updated price) |
Comment (Bonds and Bond
ETFs are more
suitable to tax-sheltered accounts than taxable) ETF
yield may be higher than the true return you will get because these bonds
trade at a premium |
| ishares
Canadian Bond ETF (Mix of Government and Corporate) |
8.5 |
3.2%
index
4.1%
XBB
|
XBB $29.58 (0.30% MER) |
Does not appear
attractive and it will fall in price if interest rates rise. Expect a small capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield minus MER! Actual return is unpredictable.
|
|
ishares Canadian Corporate Bond ETF |
7.6 |
3.9%
index
4.4%
XCB
|
XCB $20.30 (0.40% MER) |
Not very attractive
It will fall in price if the recession worsens
and the probability of corporate bankruptcies rises, and/or if interest
rates rise.
Expect a small capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield minus MER!Actual return is unpredictable.
|
|
ishares Canadian Government Bond ETF |
8.7 |
3.0%
index
3.8%
XBG
|
XGB $20.48 (0.35% MER) |
Does not appear
attractive.
Expect a small capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield minus MER! Actual return is unpredictable.
|
| ishares Canadian Long Bond ETF
(mix of government and corporate) |
21.5 |
4.5%
index
4.5%
XLB
|
XLB $20.09 (0.35% MER) |
Attractive yield but with its long maturity it will fall heavily if
interest rates rise.
Expect a small capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield minus MER! Actual return is unpredictable.
|
|
ishares Canadian Real Return Bond ETF |
20.9 |
1.4%
plus inflation index
2.4%
XRB
|
XRB $20.88 (0.35% MER) |
Worth considering for
inflation protection, but you can buy a real return bond directly and avoid
the MER, although you will pay a bid/ask spread. Real return bonds do not at
all protect against a rise in the real (before inflation) interest rates.
Real interest rates are at historic lows so that represents a danger to
this fund. |
| ishares Canadian Short Bond ETF |
2.7 |
2.3%
index
3.6%
XSB
|
XSB $28.96
(0.25% MER) |
2.3% minus the MER is
not very attractive. But may be a reasonable alternative to cash in a
brokerage account.
Expect a small capital loss
even if interest rates are stable, best indication of true expected return is index
yield minus MER!, not the cash yield on the ETF
|
| General
comments on Bonds: Bond interest is taxed more heavily than share dividends
or capital gains. Therefore they are more suitable for tax-sheltered savings
accounts. (RRSP, RESP, Tax Free Savings Account). Longer term bonds will
fall in value if interest rates rise. Bonds, an especially longer term bonds
fall in price when interest rates rise. Interest rates are currently at
record lows and therefore there is a high risk that interest rates will rise
and that bond prices will fall. The real return bond partly protects against
that risk. Corporate Bonds fall in price when corporate profits fall and or
whenever corporations are viewed as more risky. Bond and Bond ETF cash
yields can be higher than the underlying yield to maturity - don't be
misled - the offset would be an expected capital loss as the bonds are
trading at a premium to their maturity price. |
|
GOLD AND COMMODITY ETFs |
| Commodity Type |
P/E Ratio |
Yield |
ETF Stock Symbol, Price as at Jan 16,
'10 and MER (Click for updated price) |
Comment |
| S&P/TSX Global Gold Index
TSX Global Gold ETF |
Note: P/E ratio not available |
0.8%
index
0.1%
XGD
No dividends on the bear/bull ETFs
|
XGD
$22.55 (0.55% MER)
HGU
$13.71 (1.15% MER) 2 times bull
HIG $12.52
Single Bear 1.15% MER
HGD
$3.43
(1.15% MER) 2 times bear |
37 Global gold companies. My experience has
been that gold companies tend to be often over-priced due to a "lottery ticket"
mentality. The symbols starting with H here trade on Toronto in Canadian
dollars - but not hedged.
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are
known to perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not
perform as expected over longer holding periods. Click on the ETF symbol to
see a graph that illustrates the problem. |
HBP COMEX®
GOLD ETF (HUG)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUG
$12.64 MER 0.65% |
Gold itself as a commodity in Canadian
dollars and hedged to remove currency risk Endeavors to correspond to the
performance of the COMEX® gold
futures contract for a subsequent delivery month i.e. It does not own physical
gold
In a stable market with an upward sloping futures price, it would by
nature
lose money as each futures bought each month tends to be more expensive than
the value of the expiring contract being sold. |
| Claymore
Gold Bullion Trust |
not applicable |
not applicable |
CGL
$10.96
MER = 0.50% |
This is gold itself as a commodity.
This Trust owns physical Gold |
|
ISHARES COMEX Gold Trust TSX Gold
Commodity ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
IGT
$124.80
(0.40% MER)
This is the American MER,
possibly it is higher in Canada. |
This is gold itself as a commodity. This is a
U.S. gold ETF that also happens to trade on the TSX in Canadian dollars.
This Trust owns physical
Gold |
| Claymore
Silver Bullion Trust |
not applicable |
not applicable |
SVR.un
$11.05
MER = 0.60% |
This is silver itself as a commodity.
This Trust owns physical Silver |
HBP
COMEX® SILVER ETF (HUZ)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUZ
$12.69
MER 0.65% |
Silver as a commodity in Canadian
dollars and hedged to remove currency risk Endeavours to correspond to the
performance of the COMEX® silver futures contract for a subsequent delivery
month - it does not own physical silver.
In a stable market with an upward sloping futures price, it would by
nature
lose money as each futures bought each month tends to be more expensive than
the value of the expiring contract being sold. |
HBP
WINTER NYMEX® CRUDE OIL ETF (HUC)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUC
$10.04
MER 0.75% |
Emulates December contract for NYMEX light sweet
Crude. Priced in Canadian dollars and Hedged. This should go up if
December futures price for oil rises. And the reverse. This ETF may lose
money when it ultimately sells the December 2010 contract and presumably
buys the December 2011 contract
Here is a link to the December futures price
|
|
HBP NYMEX® Crude Oil Bull Plus ETF
HBP NYMEX® Crude Oil Bear Plus ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
HOU
$6.40
MER 1.15%
HOD
$11.10
MER 1.15% |
2x Bull Attempts to emulate a 200% continuous
exposure to the next month's oil futures contract on the New York Mercantile
Exchange
2x Bear Attempts to emulate a 200% continuous exposure to selling the
next month oil futures contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange
In Hedged Canadian dollars
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are
known to perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not
perform as expected over longer holding periods. Click on the links to
see a graph that illustrates the problem.
|
| Claymore
Natural Gas Commodity ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
GAS
$3.77
|
The ETF will provide non-leveraged
exposure to the Alberta natural gas market, by investing in physical natural
gas forward contracts. (Which means it does not hold physical natural
gas in storage)
The NGX Canadian Natural Gas Index replicates an exposure to the monthly
contract (1-month spot price) for physical natural gas for delivery on the
TransCanada Mainline (AECO/NIT) in Alberta, that is rolled to the next
contract prior to delivery.
In the situation of a stable price and an inclining forward price curve this index
would face
a natural loss as each monthly contract may tend to decline through the
month and the sold month may be cheaper than the next month it has to buy.
Buying this ETF is a bet that natural gas prices will rise.
Past prices of the Alberta Natural Gas
index are available
here. |
HBP
WINTER NYMEX® NATURAL GAS ETF (HUN)
|
not applicable |
not applicable |
HUN
$6.70
MER 0.75% |
Emulates January contract for NYMEX Natural Gas.
Priced in Canadian dollars and Hedged This ETF should go up if the January natural gas price rises. And the
reverse. Also may lose money when it has to sell January 2010 to buy January
2011.
Here is a link to the January Futures Price |
|
HBP NYMEX® Natural Gas Bull Plus ETF
HBP NYMEX® Natural Gas Bear Plus ETF |
not applicable |
not applicable |
HNU
$5.77
MER 1.15%
HND $7.42
MER 1.15% |
2x Bull Attempts to emulate a 200% exposure to
the next month Natural gas future on New York Mercantile Exchange
2x Bear Attempts to emulate a 200% exposure to selling the next month
Natural gas future contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange
In Hedged Canadian dollars
Note that leveraged ETFs (2 or three times bull or bear) are
known to perform as expected for short-term holding periods but may not
perform as expected over longer holding periods. Click on the links to
see a graph that illustrates the problem. |
For those interested in Canadian
ETFs this is an excellent reference article. You can bookmark it and also
join our free newsletter list to be advised
of periodic updates to this table.
For those segments that show an entry in the Canadian "ETF" column, this means that a
Canadian
Exchange Traded Fund is available. These Canadian ETFs trade just like stocks on
the Toronto Stock Exchange and the
trading symbol is provided. Buying the Exchange Traded Fund gives convenient exposure to the
segment.
Where an ETF exists, you can buy it just like buying a stock.
With the information above investors can make a judgment
as to the desirability of various segments of the Canadian market and we provide
the trading symbol under which each can be purchased. (Or sold short for that
matter).
This can help you decide which sectors are most (or
least) attractive. (Financial, Energy, Real Estate etc.). For those sectors with
an ETF available, you can then easily buy that sector by buying the Exchange
Traded Fund.
While it can be very difficult to interpret whether a particular P/E ratio is
attractive or not, it is useful to be aware of these ratios. Note that most of
the indexes are "capped" which means that the contribution of any one company to
the index is capped or limited to a certain level. In theory the P/E ratio of an
index should be more meaningful than the P/E for an individual stock since the
group of companies that make up an index are less prone to unusual gains and
losses since these tend to average out. But in some cases they do not average
out and an index P/E could be affected by large unusual gains or losses at
individual companies or something unusual that is affecting the entire sector.
Note that the sectors contain corporations as well as Income Trusts, the
inclusion of Trusts has driven the dividend yields higher compared to the
situation before Trusts were added to the indexes.
Also note that some of these sectors contain less than 10 companies which is
really not enough to be representative of a sector.
Where there is no ETF, you cannot buy the index and would need to pick and
choose individual stocks or find mutual funds
that focus on the sector.
The ETF's that start with "X" are from from
www.ishares.ca The Canadian ETF's that start with "H" are by Horizon beta pro and are
either a two times bullish bet on the segment or a two times bear bet against the
segment. Use caution and see http://www.hbpETFs.com/ for more information.
The ETF's that start with a "C" are by
Claymore Investments. We have not so far included the
Bank of Montreal ETFs partly because we could not find the P/E and yield
data.
In buying or selling any of these Canadian ETFs be cautious about the trading volume
and the bid/ask spread. Higher volume ETFs are preferred, all else being equal.
In buying any of these, be careful to double check the Canadian ETF trading symbol with
other sources. I believe the symbols above are correct, but please double check.
A wrong symbol could lead to to the wrong investment. Also check the latest P/E
ratios and dividend yield by clicking the links above. When clicking links check
that it goes to the Canadian ETF name that you expect.
Investors may wish to
consider the expected growth or contraction of the earnings that are driving the
P/E for a particular segment. High growth can justify a high P/E and low or
negative growth leads to lower P/E ratios. Also for some industries like mining
and real estate, the GAAP earnings may arguably understate sustainable
free cash
flow therefore justifying a higher P/E. For more on this see our articles on
understanding P/E ratios. Possibly,
some segments, which may not have a lot of companies in the sector,
are affected by one or two companies within the sector having unusual losses or
gains.
END
Shawn Allen, CFA, CMA, MBA, P.Eng.
President, InvestorsFriend Inc.
May 29, 2010
www.investorsfriend.com